JMCC Public Opinion Poll No. 5

On Palestinian Attitudes to the PLO-ISRAELI Agreement

July 1994

in cooperation with MBC


Methodology

A random sample of 1,920 Palestinians, over the age of 18 years, were interviewed throughout the West Bank and Gaza Strip on 15/16/17 July 1994. The interviews were conducted on a face-to-face basis with people who visited general service offices to fill out application forms for their identity cards, travel documents, birth registrations, etc, in the main towns. The interviewers reported that some people filled out their questionnaire by themselves in the presence of the interviewer.

In the West Bank, 1,246 questionnaires were collected from the following major towns: Jenin, Tulkarem, Qalqilia, Nablus, Ramallah, Hebron, East Jerusalem, Bethlehem, and Jericho. In the Gaza Strip, 674questionnaired were received from: Gaza, Khan Younis, Rafah, Deir Al-Balah, Beit Hanoun, Jabalia and the Central Refugee Camp areas.

The major of error is plus or minus 3% with a confidence level of 95%.


Sample Distribution
Occupation respondents
  • Students 11.8%
  • Waged labourers 20.9%
  • Housewives 5.4%
  • Employees eg. secretaries/teachers/nurses/municipal employees 13.9%
  • Businessmen/private business 10.9%
  • Farmers/fishermen 2.6%
  • Craftsmen 7.8%
  • Professionals - eg. doctors/lawyers/pharmacists/engineers 11.8%
  • Unemployed 10.8%
  • Retired 0.9%
  • Others 3.2%


  • Results

    Q.1 Have you already looked at the Cairo Agreement (Gaza - Jericho First)?
     
    Total 
    West Bank 
    Gaza Strip 
    Yes
    67.9% 
    68.4%
    67.0%
    No
    30.2%
    29.5%
    31.4%
    No answer
    1.9%
    2.1%
    1.6%

    Q.2 The Cairo Agreement between the PLO and Israel provides limited autonomy for the Palestinian in the Gaza and Jericho areas. Do you personally welcome this agreement?
     
    Total 
    West Bank 
    Gaza Strip 
    Yes
    57.8%
    56.2%
    60.8%
    No
    37.8%
    38.7%
    36.8%
    No answer
    4.4%
    5.1%
    3.1%

    Q.3 Two months after the implementation of the Cairo Agreement, would you say that you are optimistic or pessimistic regarding the future of the Palestinians?
     
    Total 
    West Bank 
    Gaza Strip 
    Optimistic
    53.2%
    55.2%
    53.9%
    Pessimistic
    31.7%
    38.7%
    30.0%
    No answer
    14.9%
    14.5%
    16.1%

    Q. 4 What is your opinion in regard to the Cairo Agreement, would you say you support it, or oppose it?
     
    Total 
    West Bank 
    Gaza Strip 
    Support it
    56.5%
    55.2%
    58.7%
    Oppose it
    34.5%
    34.6%
    35.5%
    No answer
    9.0%
    10.2%
    6.8%

    Q.5 If you support the peace process in principle, would you say that the Cairo Agreement...
     
    Total 
    West Bank 
    Gaza Strip 
    Increased your support
    34.3% 
    33.3%
    36.1%
    Reduced your support 
    13.8% 
    14.0%
    13.2%
    Did not effect your position 
    28.4% 
    27.8%
    29.4%
    I have never been a supporter of the peace process 
    18.5% 
    19.1%
    17.5%
    No answer
    5.0%
    5.8%
    3.7%

    Q.6 Taking the latest developments into consideration, how has your attitude towards the PLO changed?
     
    Total 
    West Bank 
    Gaza Strip 
    My support of the PLO increased 
    34.8%
    33.9%
    36.4%
    My support of the PLO declined
    18.1%
    19.3%
    15.8%
    My support of the PLO did not change 
    41.1%
    40.4%
    42.3%
    No answer
    6.0%%
    6.3%
    5.5%

    Q. 7 After having assumed power in the autonomous areas of the Gaza Strip and the Jericho areas, what do you think? Does the PLO exercise authority in a:
     
    Total 
    West Bank 
    Gaza Strip 
    Good way
    52.8%
    49.9%
    58.2%
    Bad way
    21.4%
    20.6%
    22.9%
    No answer
    25.8%
    29.5%
    18.9%

    Q. 8 Which of the following factions do you support?
     
    Total 
    West Bank 
    Gaza Strip 
    Fateh
    40.9%
    42.2%
    38.5%
    Hamas
    10.8%
    9.2%
    13.5%
    PFLP
    6.9%
    5.9%
    8.8%
    Palestinian People's Party 
    4.0%
    4.3%
    3.4%
    Jihad Movement 
    3.2%
    2.8%
    4.0%
    FIDA
    2.4%
    2.3%
    2.5%
    DFLP
    2.2%
    2.3%
    1.9%
    Independent
    16.8%
    17.7%
    15.0%
    No answer
    12.9%
    13.2%
    12.3%

    Q. 9 Would you say that the return of Yasser Arafat and the Palestinian leadership...
     
    Total 
    West Bank 
    Gaza Strip 
    made you more confident and optimistic of the future
    55.1%
    51.4%
    62.1%
    Made you more anxious and pessimistic of the future; or
    13.9%
    16.7%
    8.5%
    Did not change your feelings in regard to the future at all 
    31.0%
    31.9%
    29.4%

    Q. 10 Currently, there are negotiations to implement the self-rule experience to the rest of the West Bank. Would you support a similar agreement for the West Bank or would you oppose it?
     
    Total 
    West Bank 
    Gaza Strip 
    Support it
    70.2%
    68.5%
    73.1%
    Oppose it
    21.1%
    21.8%
    19.9%
    No answer 
    8.7%
    9.7%
    7.0%

    I will read a few statements about the agreements between Israel and the PLO. Please tell me if you agree or disagree with each statement.

    Q. 11 The PLO should try to make agreements with Israel, even if such agreements bring slight changes:
     
    Total 
    West Bank 
    Gaza Strip 
    Agree
    59.2%
    56.0%
    65.2%
    Disagree
    36.4%
    39.1%
    31.4%
    No answer/No opinion 
    4.4%
    4.9%
    3.4%

    Q. 12 The PLO should try to make agreements with Israel, even if some key issues, like Jerusalem, are negotiated later:
     
    Total 
    West Bank 
    Gaza Strip 
    Agree
    30.8%
    27.2%
    37.4%
    Disagree
    64.5%
    67.6%
    58.8%
    No answer/ No opinion 
    4.7%
    4.7%
    3.8%

    Q. 13 The PLO should not make any agreement with Israel at all:
     
    Total 
    West Bank 
    Gaza Strip 
    Agree
    26.9%
    26.1%
    28.2%
    Disagree
    65.3%
    66.0%
    64.0%
    No answer/ No opinion 
    7.8%
    7.9%
    7.8%

    Judging from his speeches, statements, and actions, what is your opinion on the seriousness of Yasser Arafat in the following issues:

    Q. 14 Prisoners
     
    Total 
    West Bank 
    Gaza Strip 
    Serious
    63.2%
    62.4%
    64.6%
    Not serious
    39.1%
    28.7%
    29.9%
    No answer/ No opinion 
    7.7%
    8.9%
    5.5%

    Q. 15 Jerusalem
     
    Total 
    West Bank 
    Gaza Strip 
    Serious
    43.7%
    44.9%
    51.6%
    Not serious
    41.2%
    42.6%
    38.6%
    No answer/ No opinion 
    11.5%
    12.5%
    9.8%

    Q.16 Refugee
     
    Total 
    West Bank 
    Gaza Strip 
    Serious
    46.5%
    45.4%
    48.4%
    Not serious
    39.9%
    40.6%
    38.6%
    No answer/ No opinion 
    13.6%
    14.0%
    12.9%

    Q. 17 Economy
     
    Total 
    West Bank 
    Gaza Strip 
    Serious
    57.3%
    61.5%
    49.6%
    Not serious
    26.4%
    23.9%
    31.1%
    No answer/ No opinion 
    16.3%
    14.6%
    19.3%

    What is your opinion in regard to the performance and effectiveness of the following new agencies:

    Q. 18 Palestinian Council
     
    Total 
    West Bank 
    Gaza Strip 
    Good
    45.4%
    42.2%
    51.4%
    Bad
    22.0%
    22.0%
    22.1%
    No answer/ No opinion 
    32.6%
    35.8%
    26.4%

    Q.19 Palestinian Police
     
    Total 
    West Bank 
    Gaza Strip 
    Good
    71.9%
    67.3%
    80.2%
    Bad
    12.8%
    13.6%
    11.3%
    No answer/ No opinion 
    15.3%
    19.0%
    8.5%

    Q. 20 Preventive Security Service
     
    Total 
    West Bank 
    Gaza Strip 
    Good
    43.2%
    41.8%
    45.9%
    Bad
    26.7%
    26.9%
    26.4%
    No answer/ No opinion 
    30.0%
    31.3%
    27.7%

    Q. 21 PECDAR
     
    Total 
    West Bank 
    Gaza Strip 
    Good
    30.7%
    33.3%
    24.1%
    Bad
    22.9%
    19.1%
    29.9%
    No answer/ No opinion 
    46.4%
    46.6%
    46.0%


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