JMCC Public Opinion Poll No. 7

On Palestinian Attitudes

to more than one year of Autonomy

June 1995


Methodology

A random sample of 1,397 Palestinians, over the age of 18 years, were interviewed face-to-face throughout the West Bank and Gaza Strip on 15 & 16 June 1995. The interviews were conducted on randomly selected homes, and the subjects inside each home were also selected randomly according to Kish tables. The interviews were conducted in 52 sampling points chosen randomly according to population.

In the West Bank, 892 people were surveyed from the following areas: Bethlehem: Deiheishe Refugee Camp, Handaza, Jerusalem: Jabel Mukabber, Sour Baher. Hebron: Halhoul, Hebron, Tarqoumya, Yatta, Bani Na'im, Jenin: Jenin, Qabatya, Ijjeh, Sansour, Toubas. Qalqilia: Qalqilia. Nablus: Nablus, Salem, Abwein, Kufr Ni'meh, Nur Shams RC and Qafin. Ramallah: Ramallah, Single. Jericho: Jericho.

In the Gaza Strip, 5.5 people were surveyed from: Gaza, Shate' RC, Nusseirtat, Rafah, Jabalya, Deir al-Balah, Rimal, Asqoula, Beit Lahia.

The major of error is plus or minus 3% with a confidence level of 95%.


Sample Distribution
Occupation respondents
  • Students 7.4%
  • Waged labourers 12.2%
  • Housewives 35.7%
  • Employees eg. secretaries/teachers/nurses/municipal employees 5.2%
  • Businessmen/private business 4.9%
  • Farmers/fishermen 1.3%
  • Craftsmen 8.1%
  • Professionals - eg. doctors/lawyers/pharmacists/engineers 9.7%
  • Unemployed 7.9%
  • Retired 2.1%
  • Other/No answer 5.5%


  • Results

    Q.1 With the passage of one year of autonomy (Gaza-Jericho), how do you feel about the Palestinian future? Are you:
     
    Total 
    West Bank 
    Gaza Strip 
    Optimistic
    57.9% 
    52.1%
    68.1%
    Pessimistic
    27.0%
    29.6%
    22.6%
    Other
    6.7%
    8.6%
    3.8%
    No opinion 
    8.4%
    9.7%
    5.5%

    Q.2 Withthe passage of a year since the implementation of autonomy, do you feel:
     
    Total 
    West Bank 
    Gaza Strip 
    More secure
    47.9%
    35.8%
    69.3%
    Less secure
    20.5%
    24.9%
    12.9%
    No change
    29.6%
    36.7%
    17.2%
    No opinion
    2.0%
    2.7%
    0.6%

    Q.3 With the passage of a year since the implementation of autonomy, how has your support for it changed:
     
    Total 
    West Bank 
    Gaza Strip 
    I never supported it
    20.7%
    22.5%
    17.4%
    I used to, and support increased 
    27.5%
    27.5%
    27.7%
    I used to, and my support didn't change 
    27.0%
    23.4%
    33.5%
    I used to, and my support decrease
    15.2%
    14.3%
    16.8%
    I used to, but now I don't
    3.6%
    4.4%
    2.2%
    No opinion
    6.0%
    7.8%
    2.4%

    Q. 4 What is your evaluation of the Palestinian National Authority one year since it began work?
     
    Total 
    West Bank 
    Gaza Strip 
    Good
    40.5%
    40.6%
    40.4%
    Average
    32.3%
    29.1%
    38.0%
    Bad
    17.0%
    16.8%
    17.4%
    Other
    2.1%
    2.7%
    1.0%
    No opinion 
    8.1%
    10.8%
    3.2%

    Q.4-a For those who answered "average" or "bad": You evaluate the authority's performance this way because:
     
    Total 
    West Bank 
    Gaza Strip 
    The PA's practices
    23.0% 
    20.2%
    27.8%
    The agreement with Israel 
    22.6% 
    23.7%
    20.8%
    Israeli measures
    26.1% 
    24.5%
    28.7%
    Donor aid
    8.8% 
    7.7%
    10.7%
    More than one of the above 
    5.1%
    5.8%
    4.3%
    No opinion
    14.3%
    18.1%
    7.6%

    Q.5 How do you evaluate the performance of the following National Authority apparatuses?

    TOTAL
     
    Education 
    Health 
    PECDAR 
    Preventive Security 
    Tax Authority 
    Police 
    Good 
    64.9%
    47.6%
    28.9%
    39.0%
    22.7%
    49.4%
    Average
    22.4%
    27.3%
    28.1%
    21.7%
    24.2%
    26.0%
    Poor
    5.2%
    14.2%
    16.5%
    21.4%
    23.2%
    8.8%
    No answer 
    7.5%
    10.9%
    26.5%
    17.9%
    29.8%
    15.8%

    Q.6 Negotiations are being held to implement the autonomy experiment in the West Bank. What is your opinion?
     
    Total 
    West Bank 
    Gaza Strip 
    I support this 
    74.9% 
    71.3%
    81.4%
    I oppose this 
    15.7%
    17.8%
    12.1%
    No opinion 
    9.4%
    19.9%
    6.5%

    Q.7 Do you believe President Arafat is carrying out his work as head of the National Authority:
     
    Total 
    West Bank 
    Gaza Strip 
    Well
    52.0%
    46.7%
    61.4%
    Average
    24.7%
    26.1%
    22.2%
    Poorly
    13.9%
    15.8%
    10.5%
    No opinion 
    9.4%
    11.3%
    5.9%

    Q.8 After the passage of a year since the return of President Yasser Arafat and his assumption of the leadership of the Palestinian National Authority, has your support increased, decreased, not changed or did you never support him?
     
    Total 
    West Bank 
    Gaza Strip 
    I never supported him
    18.1%
    19.8%
    15.0%
    I used to, and my support increased 
    30.7%
    29.4%
    33.1%
    I used to, and my support didn't change 
    28.8%
    26.6%
    32.9%
    I used to, and my support decreased
    13.2%
    13.3%
    13.1%
    I used to, but I don't any more
    2.8%
    3.7%
    1.2%
    No opinon
    6.4%
    7.2%
    4.8%

    Q.9 After the passage of a year since the return of President Yasser Arafat and his assumption of leadership of autonomy, how do you evaluate him in the following areas:

    TOTAL
     
    PNA Administration 
    Administration of negotiations with Israel
    Administration of Palestinian Economy
    Decision-making 
    Good 
    45.2%
    30.7%
    24.3%
    36.5%
    Average
    30.2%
    33.0%
    31.7%
    26.7%
    Poor
    12.0%
    26.0%
    30.0%
    22.5%
    No answer 
    12.6%
    10.3%
    14.0%
    14.3%

    Q.10 If Palestinian political elections are held soon, do you think President Arafat should nominate himself?
     
    Total 
    West Bank 
    Gaza Strip 
    Yes
    67.8%
    64.5%
    73.9%
    No
    20.6%
    22.9%
    16.6%
    No opinion 
    11.6%
    13.6%
    9.5%

    Q.11 Do you believe President Arafat is a democratic or undemocratic person?
     
    Total 
    West Bank 
    Gaza Strip 
    Yes, democratic 
    45.1%
    41.4%
    51.7%
    No, undemocratic 
    24.6%
    28.0%
    18.6%
    No, but he is justified in being undemocratic 
    11.7%
    10.4%
    14.1%
    Other
    2.0%
    1.8%
    2.4%
    No opinion 
    16.6%
    18.4%
    13.3%

    Q.12 President Arafat has been considered a symbole of the struggle and aspirations of the Palestinian people and Palestinian cause. What do you think today?
     
    Total 
    West Bank 
    Gaza Strip 
    He was and still a symbole for the Palestinian people and cause 
    60.9%
    55.9%
    69.9%
    He is no longer a symbol for the Palestinian people and cause
    22.5%
    25.8%
    16.6%
    Other
    4.4%
    4.3%
    4.6%
    No opinion 
    12.2%
    14.0%
    8.9%

    Q.13 Do you agree to giving up the 1948 lands in return for a final solution stipulating a Palestinian state in West Bank and Gaza Strip, with Jerusalem as its capital (the 1967 borders)?
     
    Total 
    West Bank 
    Gaza Strip 
    Yes
    31.8%
    30.2%
    34.9%
    No
    60.7%
    60.2%
    61.8%
    No opinion 
    7.5%
    9.6%
    3.4%

    Q.14 Do you believe Jordan deals with the Palestinian issue:
     
    Total 
    West Bank 
    Gaza Strip 
    With good intentions
    9.3%
    10.0%
    8.1%
    With bad intentions
    17.7%
    18.5%
    16.4%
    According to Jordanian national interests 
    65.3%
    63.6%
    68.5%
    No opinion 
    7.7%
    7.9%
    6.9%

    Q.15 Is Rabin sincere about implementing the agreements he signed with the Palestinian?
     
    Total 
    West Bank 
    Gaza Strip 
    Yes
    9.9%
    9.4%
    10.9%
    No
    80.1%
    81.3%
    78.2%
    No opinion 
    10.0%
    9.3%
    10.9%

    Q.16 If Labor falls and Likud takes over the Israeli government in the coming elections, do you think the general Palestinian political situation will:
     
    Total 
    West Bank 
    Gaza Strip 
    Improve
    6.8%
    7.4%
    5.7%
    Worsen
    47.8%
    46.5%
    50.1%
    Remain the same 
    30.5%
    31.1%
    29.7%
    No opinion 
    14.9%
    15.0%
    14.5%

    Q.17 How much do you trust the intentions of the following Israeli parties toward the Palestinians:

    TOTAL
     
    Labor/Yitzhak Rabin 
    Likud/Binyamin Netanyahu
    Meretz/Yossi Sarid 
    Hadash/Hashem Mahameed
    Arab Democratic Party/Abdul Wahab Darawshe
    Good 
    12.3%
    2.0%
    18.2%
    56.9%
    62.7%
    Poor 
    7.5%
    2.0%
    4.4%
    5.6%
    5.4%
    Average
    60.2%
    73.2%
    44.9%
    13.1%
    12.0%
    No opinion 
    20.0%
    22.8%
    32.5%
    24.4%
    19.9%

    Q.18 Do you think armed resistance against Israel is still legitimate under the current political situation?
     
    Total 
    West Bank 
    Gaza Strip 
    Yes
    43.2% 
    46.7%
    34.7%
    No
    43.3%
    37.7%
    53.5%
    Other
    2.1%
    1.5%
    3.2%
    No opinion 
    12.3%
    14.1%
    8.7%

    Q.19 Do you support continued Hamas and Islamic Jihad suicide operations against Israeli targets under the current political situation?
     
    Total 
    West Bank 
    Gaza Strip 
    Yes
    32.8% 
    34.8%
    29.5%
    No
    52.3%
    48.4%
    59.2%
    Other
    2.2%
    1.8%
    3.0%
    No opinion 
    12.7%
    15.0%
    8.3%

    Q.19-a If you answered yes, why?*
     
    Total 
    It's the best way to regain our rights, no other solution
    24.4%
    It's an alternative to the peace process, the peace process is not in our best interest 
    8.3%
    Because occupation still exists, to liberate our country
    18.3%
    As pressure on Israel
    13.7% 
    Israel understands only power, because of Israeli provocations, revenge
    18.1%
    For the sake of Islam, to liberate Islamic holy sites
    9.4%
    Other
    5.4%
    No opinion
    2.4%

    Q.20 What are the two political or religious factions you trust the most?
     
    Total 
    Fateh
    46.6%
    Hamas
    18.2%
    PFLP
    4.4%
    DFLP
    0.7% 
    Jihad
    4.3%
    People's Party 
    1.4%
    FIDA
    0.3%
    Other Islamic Groups 
    1.1%
    'Pro-peace' secularists 
    0.4%
    'Anti-peace' secularists
    0.1% 
    Don't trust anyone
    6.4%
    No opinion
    16.0% 

    Q.21 What two Palestinian figures do you trust the most?
     
    Total 
    Yasser Arafat
    39.4%
    Ahmed Yassin
    10.9%
    Haider Abdul Shafi
    7.1%
    Faisal Husseini
    3.4% 
    George Habash
    2.9%
    Hanan Ashrawi
    2.9%
    Yasser Abed Rabbo
    1.9%
    Farouk Qaddoumi
    1.7%
    Nabil Sha'ath
    1.6%
    Mahmoud Zahhar
    1.0% 
    Other personalities
    6.9%
    No opinion
    20.3% 


    [Back to Polls 1995]     [Go to Polls 1996]     [Back to Polls Page]