JMCC Public Opinion Poll No. 8

On Jerusalemites' opinion to Jerusalem's future

August 1995

in cooperation with Al-Sharq Al-Awsat


Introduction


Methodology

A random sample of 489 Jerusalem Palestinians over the age of 18 years, were interviewed face-to-face throughout the Jerusalem District on 24 & 25 August 1995. The interviews were conducted in randomly selected homes, and the subjects inside each home were also selected randomly according to Kish tables methods.

The poll was conducted by JMCC in cooperation with Al-Sharq Al-Awsat Newspaper in London. It aimed to study the opinions of Jerusalem Palestinians on the future of Jerusalem and the peace process. All districts East Jerusalem neighbourhoods were selected in this survey and the number of respondents in each neighbourhood was based on the population size of that neighbourhood. Population size was based on the figures of the Palestine Statistics Bureau. The following are the areas of Jerusalem that were included in the survey: Old Beit Hanina, Um Touba, Sheikh Sa'ad, Hizma, Z'aim, Sheikh Jarrah, Al-Thouri, Kufur Aqab, Qalandia, Al-Swahreh, Sur Baher, Al-Tour, Wadi Aljouz, Shu'fat RC, Issawieh, Anata, Old City, Jabal Al-Mukabber, Abu Deis, Bethany, Shu'fat, Beit Hanina, Al-Ram, Dahiat Al-Bareed, and Silwan.


Sample Distribution
Occupation respondents
  • Students 11.9%
  • Waged labourers 11.5%
  • Housewives 23.3%
  • Employees eg. secretaries/teachers/nurses/municipal employees 8.4%
  • Businessmen/private business 6.3%
  • Craftsmen 9.0%
  • Professionals - eg. doctors/lawyers/pharmacists/engineers 9.0%
  • Unemployed 4.3%
  • Retired 1.6%
  • Other/No answer 14.7%


  • Results

    Q.1 How do you feel about the future of the Palestinians one year after self-rule began in Gaza and Jericho?
     
    Total 
    Muslims 
    Christians 
    Very optimistic
    10.0% 
    10.7%
    5.9%
    Somewhat optimistic 
    44.4%
    42.7%
    62.7%
    No opinion
    8.6%
    9.9%
    2.0%
    Somewhat pessimistic 
    24.1%
    24.1%
    21.6%
    Very pessimistic
    12.9%
    1.2%
    7.8%

    Q.2 More than three years since the peace process began, how do you feel about Jerusalem?
     
    Total 
    Muslims 
    Christians 
    Very optimistic
    8.0% 
    9.0%
    ---
    Somewhat optimistic 
    34.4%
    34.3%
    31.4%
    No opinion
    24.7%
    23.9%
    21.6%
    Somewhat pessimistic 
    21.9%
    22.0%
    21.6%
    Very pessimistic
    11.1%
    10.6%
    11.7%

    Q.3 Do you think the Palestinian Authority is doing enough on the issue of Jerusalem?
     
    Total 
    Muslims 
    Christians
    Yes
    38.9%
    40.8%
    25.5%
    No
    49.7%
    47.3%
    60.8%
    No opinion 
    11.4%
    10.9%
    13.7%

    Q.4 Do you accept giving up the "1948 lands" in return for a final solution in which the Palestinians will have their own state in the West Bank and Gaza, with Jerusalem as its capital (1967 borders)?
     
    Total 
    Muslims 
    Christians
    Yes
    39.1%
    36.7%
    60.8%
    No
    54.4%
    57.3%
    31.4%
    No opinion 
    6.5%
    10.9%
    7.8%

    Q.5 How would you describe President Yasser Arafat's performance as the head of the Palestinian Authority?
     
    Total 
    Muslims 
    Christians 
    Very good
    15.7% 
    16.5%
    9.8%
    Good
    28.0%
    26.9%
    39.2%
    Average
    28.2%
    28.5%
    29.4%
    Bad
    11.7%
    10.4%
    17.6%
    Very bad
    8.8%
    10.0%
    ---
    No answer 
    7.6%
    7.7%
    3.9%

    Q.6 Given the current situation, do you approve of the continuation of Hamas and Islamic Jihad's suicide operations against Israeli targets?
     
    Total 
    Muslims 
    Christians 
    Yes
    24.3% 
    26.0%
    9.8%
    No
    62.2%
    60.8%
    78.4%
    Other
    1.2%
    1.1%
    2.0%
    No opinion 
    12.3%
    12.1%
    9.8%

    Q.7 Which passport would you prefer to have?
     
    Total 
    Muslims 
    Christians 
    Jordanian
    16.4%
    14.8%
    29.4%
    Israeli
    9.2%
    9.0%
    9.8%
    Palestinian
    66.1%
    68.0%
    51.0%
    No opinion 
    8.4%
    8.1%
    9.8%

    Q.8 If Israeli elections for the Jerusalem Municipality were held today, would you participate?
     
    Total 
    Muslims 
    Christians 
    Yes
    13.1%
    12.8%
    --
    No
    83.2%
    83.8%
    82.4%
    No opinion 
    3.7%
    3.4%
    3.9%

    Q.9 To what extent is it true that the way the Palestinians landlords in Jerusalem dealt with their tenants contributed to the city's eviction of its Palestinian occupants?
     
    Total 
    Muslims 
    Christians 
    Very true
    54.8%
    56.1%
    47.1%
    Somewhat true
    30.1%
    29.7%
    33.3%
    It had no effect 
    11.2%
    10.9%
    13.7%
    No opinion 
    3.9%
    3.2%
    5.9%

    Q.10 What, would you say, is the main problem which Palestinian Jerusalem residents face?
     
    Total 
    Muslims 
    Christians 
    Taxes
    22.5%
    22.5%
    23.5%
    Housing/Building permits 
    25.6% 
    25.1%
    33.3%
    Closure/Feeling of isolation 
    16.0%
    15.8%
    15.6%
    Settlements/Occupation
    7.1%
    8.1%
    --
    General situation
    11.7%
    11.4%
    11.8%
    Racism
    3.9%
    3.5%
    7.8%
    Other (including imprisonment, drugs and social breakdown)
    5.4%
    5.5%
    6.0%
    No opinion
    7.8%
    8.1%
    2.0%

    Q.11 Do you agree with the steps taken by some Jerusalem Palestinians, who have obtained Israeli passports?
     
    Total 
    Muslims 
    Christians 
    Yes
    10.6%
    10.4%
    11.8%
    No
    78.9%
    80.8%
    72.5%
    No opinion 
    10.5%
    9.5%
    15.7%

    Q.12 Do you believe it is possible to reach a just and comprehensive political solution while there are still Israeli settlements in East Jerusalem?
     
    Total 
    Muslims 
    Christians 
    Yes
    9.8%
    9.0%
    15.7%
    No
    84.3%
    85.4%
    76.5%
    No opinion 
    5.9%
    5.5%
    7.8%

    Q.13 Would you approve putting Jerusalem under international supervision?
     
    Total 
    Muslims 
    Christians 
    Yes
    49.9%
    47.3%
    60.8%
    No
    46.2%
    47.8%
    37.3%
    No opinion 
    3.9%
    9.0%
    2.0%

    Q.14 What, in your opinion, is the best and final solution to the Jerusalem problem?
     
    Total 
    Muslims 
    Christians 
    Unified capital of Israel
    0.4%
    0.5%
    --
    East Jerusalem as the capital of the Palestinian State
    41.5% 
    43.4%
    25.5%
    International Jerusalem
    23.3%
    21.8%
    35.3%
    Jerusalem as an open city and a capital of the two states
    15.3%
    14.2%
    25.5%
    West Jerusalem is the capital of Israel, the Old City is under a joint sovereignty, and East Jerusalem is under Palestinian sovereignty
    6.7%
    6.7%
    6.8%
    Other
    7.0%
    7.7%
    2.0%
    No opinion
    5.7%
    5.7%
    3.9%

    Q.15 How long, do you think, will it be before there is a Palestinian state with Jerusalem as its capital?
     
    Total 
    Muslims 
    Christians 
    Less than 10 years
    28.5%
    28.7%
    30.0%
    10-20 years
    16.5% 
    16.0%
    19.6%
    20-50 years
    9.8%
    10.8%
    9.8%
    50-100 years
    2.6%
    2.5%
    3.9%
    Many years
    13.4%
    13.0%
    13.5%
    Never
    9.2%
    9.3%
    9.6%
    No opinion
    20.0%
    18.8%
    13.6%

    Q.16 If you havea choice between war and continued Israeli control over Jerusalem, what will you choose?
     
    Total 
    Muslims 
    Christians 
    War
    62.8%
    67.7%
    21.6%
    Continued Israeli control 
    16.0%
    14.4%
    27.5%
    No opinion 
    21.2%
    17.9%
    51.0%


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