JMCC Public Opinion Poll No. 24

On Palestinian and Israeli Attitudes Towards

the Peace Process

December 1997

in cooperation with Tami Steinmetz Centre for Peace Research Tel-Aviv University


Introduction

For the first time, a joint Israeli - Palestinian public opinion wurvey on the peace process has been carried out jointly by a Palestinian research institute JMCC (Jerusalem Media and Communication Centre) and an Israeli research institute (the Tami Steinmetz Centre for Peace Research at Tel-Aviv University). The poll has been funded by Norway and the CRB Foundation as part of the people-to-people program. The survey, conducted in late November and early December 1997, used an identical questionnaire that researches from the two institutes elaborated and worte together.

The questionnaire focused on the following topics:

Main Findings:
Methodology

The surveys included representative samples of both population groups - Israelis (Jews and Arabs) and Palestinians.

The Palestinian sample included 1,185 respondents aged 18 and over (769 of whom lived in the West Bank including East Jerusalem and 416 in the Gaza Strip). The interviews were conducted in randomly selected homes, and the subjects inside each home were also selected randomly according to Kish tables. The interviews were conducted in 60 sampling points chosen randomly according to population.

The Israeli sample included 1,002 respondents aged 18 and over, half Jews and half Arabs. (Notably, the Arab population inthis age cohort accounts for only 11% of the Israeli population: we had to use a disproportionately large sample in order correctly to analyze this population / group by its subgroups. Obviously, when data for the total population were computed, the Arab population was weighted in accordance with its correct proportion. The Jewish respondents were interviewed by telephone; the Arab respondents were interviewed face-to-face, as in the Palestinian survey.


Sample Distribution
Occupation respondents
  • Students 9.4%
  • Waged labourers 12.1%
  • Housewives 40.0%
  • Employees eg. secretaries/teachers/nurses/municipal employees 15.8%
  • Businessmen/private business 8.3%
  • Farmers/fishermen 2.1%
  • Craftsmen 1.8%
  • Professionals - eg. doctors/lawyers/pharmacists/engineers 1.1%
  • Unemployed 6.5%
  • Retired 2.0%
  • No answer 0.9%


  • Results

    Q.1 How optimistic or pessimistic are you about the future in general? Would you say you are:
     
    Palestinian Area
    Israel
    Total
    West Bank 
    Gaza Strip
    Total 
    Jews 
    Arab 
    Very optimistic 
    6.4% 
    5.6%
    7.9%
    18.6%
    19.5%
    11.4%
    Optimistic
    66.1%
    64.8%
    68.5%
    51.0%
    50.4%
    55.4%
    Pessimistic
    20.8%
    21.6%
    19.2%
    19.8%
    19.0%
    26.7%
    Very Pessimistic 
    5.4%
    6.4%
    3.6%
    7.1%
    7.4%
    4.3%
    No answer
    1.3%
    1.6%
    0.8%
    3.6%
    3.8%
    2.2%

    Q.2 How optimistic or pessimistic are you about reaching a peaceful Arab-Israeli settlement? Would you say you are:
     
    Palestinian Area
    Israel
    Total
    West Bank 
    Gaza Strip
    Total 
    Jews 
    Arab 
    Very optimistic 
    4.6% 
    3.9%
    5.8%
    13.7%
    14.0%
    11.1%
    Optimistic
    54.5%
    55.8%
    52.2%
    48.3%
    48.5%
    50.6%
    Pessimistic
    27.8%
    25.9%
    31.3%
    23.8%
    22.5%
    28.8%
    Very Pessimistic 
    11.0%
    11.8%
    9.4%
    8.7%
    9.0%
    6.0%
    No answer
    2.1%
    2.6%
    1.3%
    5.5%
    5.8%
    3.4%

    Q.3 What do you think about the Oslo formula, would you say you strongly support it, support it, oppose it or strongly oppose it?
     
    Palestinian Area
    Israel
    Total
    West Bank 
    Gaza Strip
    Total 
    Jews 
    Arab 
    Strongly support 
    7.8% 
    6.8%
    9.9%
    25.6%
    23.3%
    44.6%
    Support
    60.3%
    59.2%
    62.3%
    23.3%
    33.1%
    34.9%
    Oppose
    18.0%
    19.0%
    16.1%
    12.7%
    13.0%
    9.9%
    Strongly oppose
    6.7%
    6.1%
    7.7%
    20.1%
    21.7%
    17.6%
    No answer
    7.2%
    8.9%
    4.0%
    8.3%
    9.0%
    2.9%

    Q. 4 What is your opinion about the transitional period? Would you say that it builds confidence or destroys confidence between the two peoples?
     
    Palestinian Area
    Israel
    Total
    West Bank 
    Gaza Strip
    Total 
    Jews 
    Arab 
    Builds confidence 
    43.4% 
    41.5%
    46.9%
    33.0%
    31.2%
    47.5%
    Destroys confidence 
    45.5%
    47.1%
    42.5%
    40.6%
    41.2%
    36.0%
    No answer
    11.1%
    11.4%
    10.6%
    26.4%
    27.6%
    16.4%

    Q. 5 And now after the elapse of sometime since the peace process started, would you say that your sense of personal security is better than before the peace process, about the same or worse?
     
    Palestinian Area
    Israel
    Total
    West Bank 
    Gaza Strip
    Total 
    Jews 
    Arab 
    Better
    64.2% 
    60.9%
    70.4%
    9.0%
    8.4%
    14.2%
    Same
    21.9%
    24.7%
    16.8%
    54.5%
    54.4%
    55.7%
    Worse
    11.8%
    21.6%
    10.3%
    34.6%
    35.6%
    26.4%
    No answer 
    2.1%
    1.8%
    2.5%
    1.7%
    1.5%
    3.7%

    Q. 6 How about your own personal economic situation since the peace process started, would you say that it is better than before the peace process, about the same or worse?
     
    Palestinian Area
    Israel
    Total
    West Bank 
    Gaza Strip
    Total 
    Jews 
    Arab 
    Better
    16.9% 
    16.5%
    17.5%
    6.6%
    6.2%
    10.0%
    Same
    38.1%
    43.2%
    28.8%
    72.1%
    73.8%
    58.3%
    Worse
    43.7%
    39.1%
    52.2%
    17.8%
    16.5%
    28.3%
    No answer 
    1.3%
    1.2%
    1.5%
    3.5%
    3.5%
    3.4%

    Q. 7 And how about our economy in general, since the peace process started, would you say that is better than before the peace proces, about the same or worse?
     
    Palestinian Area
    Israel
    Total
    West Bank 
    Gaza Strip
    Jews 
    Arab 
    Better
    16.6% 
    16.1%
    17.5%
    11.1%
    9.1%
    Same
    21.1%
    22.9%
    17.8%
    40.2%
    37.7%
    Worse
    58.6%
    56.3%
    62.7%
    39.5%
    48.1%
    No answer 
    3.7%
    4.7%
    2.0%
    9.3%
    5.0%

    Q. 8 In your opinion wht is the most important obstacle facing the peace process:
     
    Total 
    West Bank 
    Gaza Strip 
    Settlements 
    16.8%
    15.2%
    19.7%
    Jerusalem
    6.4%
    5.9%
    7.5%
    Israel (Stubbornness) 
    27.4%
    26.7%
    28.8%
    Netanyahu (Likud)
    10.0%
    9.8%
    10.6%
    Economy
    1.8%
    1.3%
    2.6%
    Closure
    1.4%
    0.8%
    2.6%
    Israeli people
    1.4%
    1.8%
    0.7%
    Prisoners
    1.0%
    0.9%
    1.2%
    Jews
    2.4%
    3.0%
    1.2%
    No understanding between the two sides 
    1.5%
    1.6%
    1.4%
    Suicidal operations
    2.0%
    2.1%
    1.9%
    Other obstacles
    13.1%
    11.2%
    6.7%
    Do not know / no opinion 
    9.6%
    14.7%
    10.1%
    No answer
    5.2%
    5.0%
    5.0%

    Q. 8 In your opinion what is the most important obstacle facing the peace process:
     
    Jewish Sample

    Total

    Arab Sample

    Total

    Both Sides:
    Extremism, mutual hostility and racism 
    3.7%
    4.7%
    Mistrust and miscommunication
    11.0%
    6.9%
    Political malperformance
    2.5%
    2.6%
    Israeli Side:
    Israeli government and prime minister
    27.1%
    36.5%
    Israeli radical right
    3.5%
    2.5%
    Israeli radical left
    4.5%
    0.0%
    Internal cleavage
    4.8%
    0.0%
    Occupation, lands & Settlements
    0.0%
    6.8%
    Jewish mentality & attitudes towards Arabs 
    0.0%
    3.6%
    Jerusalem
    0.6%
    4.2%
    Arab Side:
    Political leadership
    0.8%
    0.4%
    Arab hostility and terror
    8.6%
    4.9%
    Arab attitudes and mentality
    9.0%
    0.7%
    Arab excessive claims
    2.7%
    0.0%
    Other
    9.2%
    10.3%
    Don't know
    12.0%
    20.1%

    Q. 9 How genuine, do you think the present Israeli government (Palestinian Authority) is about reaching peace with the Palestinians (Israelis). Would you say that it is...
     
    Palestinian Area
    Israel
    Total
    West Bank 
    Gaza Strip
    Total 
    Jews 
    Arab 
    Very genuine 
    0.8% 
    0.5%
    1.4%
    16.2%
    14.4%
    30.7%
    Genuine
    8.0%
    6.9%
    10.1%
    40.0%
    37.9%
    56.8%
    Not genuine 
    44.8%
    47.2%
    40.4%
    20.5%
    22.1%
    7.9%
    Not genuine at all 
    44.2%
    42.8%
    46.9%
    19.4%
    21.7%
    1.2%
    No answer
    2.2%
    2.6%
    1.2%
    3.8%
    3.8%
    3.4%

    Q. 10 How genuine do you think the Israeli (Paletinian) people are about reaching peace with the Palestinians (Israelis). Would you say you are
     
    Palestinian Area
    Israel
    Total
    West Bank 
    Gaza Strip
    Total 
    Jews 
    Arab 
    Very genuine 
    3.3% 
    3.3%
    3.4%
    15.9%
    14.7%
    25.5%
    Genuine
    47.3%
    49.2%
    44.0%
    39.6%
    38.0%
    52.3%
    Not genuine 
    33.1%
    30.9%
    37.0%
    19.4%
    19.9%
    15.8%
    Not genuine at all 
    12.4%
    12.2%
    12.7%
    20.1%
    22.1%
    3.5%
    No answer
    3.9%
    4.4%
    2.9%
    5.5%
    5.8%
    3.0%

    Q. 11 Would you mind an Israeli (Palestinian) to be your personal friend?
     
    Palestinian Area
    Israel
    Total
    West Bank 
    Gaza Strip
    Jews 
    Arab 
    Yes
    50.8% 
    44.9%
    61.8%
    22.6%
    0.0%
    No
    46.7%
    52.4%
    36.1%
    73.9%
    0.0%
    No answer 
    2.5%
    2.7%
    2.0%
    3.6%
    0.0%

    Q. 12 If a peace settlement is reached between the Israelis and the Palestinians in the future, would you still have a problem taking an Israeli (Palestinians) as a friend?
     
    Palestinian Area
    Israel
    Total
    West Bank 
    Gaza Strip
    Jews 
    Arab 
    Yes
    75.7% 
    78.0%
    72.8%
    83.2%
    0.0%
    No
    20.4%
    17.7%
    24.1%
    11.5%
    0.0%
    No answer 
    3.9%
    4.3%
    3.1%
    5.3%
    0.0%

    Q. 13 What is your opinion about the following statement: In order to strengthen the support for peace among the Israelis and Palestinians the relationships between the two people should be depended in all areas.
     
    Palestinian Area
    Israel
    Total
    West Bank 
    Gaza Strip
    Total 
    Jews 
    Arab 
    Strongly agree
    9.9% 
    7.0%
    15.1%
    38.3%
    40.2%
    23.2%
    Agree
    55.4%
    58.8%
    49.3%
    38.7%
    37.0%
    52.2%
    Disagree
    21.7%
    22.1%
    20.9%
    11.5%
    11.2%
    14.1%
    Strongly disagree 
    9.1%
    7.2%
    12.7%
    6.3%
    6.7%
    2.7%
    No answer 
    3.9%
    4.9%
    2.0%
    5.3%
    5.0%
    7.7%

    Q. 14 What about if a Palestinian state is estabished, would you still say that the relationship between the two peoples shoul d not be strengthened?
     
    Palestinian Area
    Israel
    Total
    West Bank 
    Gaza Strip
    Jews 
    Arab 
    Yes
    69.3% 
    66.2%
    74.3%
    0.0%
    35.2%
    No
    26.8%
    29.8%
    22.1%
    0.0%
    46.4%
    No answer 
    3.9%
    4.0%
    3.6%
    0.0%
    0.1%

    Q. 15 What in your opinion about the follwoing argument: Even if peace agreement is reached, it is perferable for the Palestinians to have a close and clear border with Israel, to maintain full separation between the two entities.
     
    Palestinian Area
    Israel
    Total
    West Bank 
    Gaza Strip
    Total 
    Jews 
    Arab 
    Strongly agree
    14.9% 
    13.1%
    18.3%
    51.4%
    55.4%
    19.3%
    Agree
    47.7%
    47.2%
    48.6%
    30.0%
    28.3%
    43.6%
    Disagree
    25.1%
    27.4%
    20.7%
    7.6%
    6.1%
    19.8%
    Strongly disagree 
    6.3%
    5.2%
    8.4%
    5.6%
    5.1%
    9.8%
    No answer 
    6.0%
    7.1%
    4.0%
    5.3%
    5.0%
    7.5%

    Q. 16 In your opinion, is it possible that after the signing of peace agreement between Israel and the Arab a "New Middle East" will evolve, similar to the situation in Europe today - no wars, joint economic and political institutions, and borders open to people and goods? Possible immediately following the signing the peace agreement, possible in the near future, possible but in the far future, not possible at all
     
    Palestinian Area
    Israel
    Total
    West Bank 
    Gaza Strip
    Total 
    Jews 
    Arab 
    Possible immediately following the signing the peace agreement
    3.2% 
    1.7%
    6.0%
    6.3%
    5.7%
    14.2%
    Possible, in the near future
    19.4%
    18.6%
    20.9%
    15.9%
    15.8%
    17.0%
    Possible, but in the far future 
    39.2%
    41.6%
    34.9%
    41.5%
    41.6%
    40.8%
    Not possible at all 
    33.3%
    32.4%
    35.1%
    30.1%
    30.7%
    25.1%
    No answer 
    4.9%
    5.7%
    3.1%
    5.7%
    6.1%
    2.9%

    Q. 17 Did you have in the past, or do you have today any personal or business relationships with Israeli (Palestinina) civilians.
     
    Palestinian Area
    Israel
    Total
    West Bank 
    Gaza Strip
    Total 
    Jews 
    Arab 
    Yes
    22.1% 
    23.7%
    19.2%
    32.0%
    27.0%
    72.0%
    No
    77.6%
    76.1%
    80.3%
    67.5%
    72.7%
    25.0%
    No answer
    0.3%
    0.2%
    0.5%
    0.6%
    0.3%
    3.1%

    Q. 18 And how would you describe these relations?
     
    Palestinian Area
    Israel
    Total
    West Bank 
    Gaza Strip
    Total 
    Jews 
    Arab 
    Pleasant relationships 
    53.4% 
    51.1%
    58.8%
    71.7%
    73.2%
    59.9%
    Unpleasant relationships 
    7.6%
    7.1%
    8.8%
    3.6%
    3.3%
    6.3%
    Sometimes pleasant, sometime unpleasant 
    37.4%
    39.6%
    32.4%
    22.9%
    23.5%
    17.7%
    No answer
    1.6%
    2.2%
    0.0%
    2.2%
    0.5%
    16.1%

    Q. 19 Now I am going to show you a list of characteristics that could be used to describe the Israelis (Palestinians), using the following scale (show scale), please indicate how you describe the Israelis (Palestinians):

    - Violent:
     
    Palestinian Area
    Israel
    Total
    West Bank 
    Gaza Strip
    Jews 
    Arab 
    1. Non-Violent 
    3.5% 
    3.3%
    4.1%
    6.5%
    16.6%
    2.
    3.8%
    3.1%
    5.0%
    13.6%
    10.7%
    3.
    14.9%
    16.4%
    12.3%
    41.0%
    38.3%
    4.
    14.3%
    13.5%
    15.6%
    17.0%
    15.8%
    5. Violent
    63.0%
    63.6%
    62.0%
    22.0%
    18.6%
    No answer
    0.5%
    0.1%
    1.0%
    0.0%
    3.3%

    - Honest:
     
    Palestinian Area
    Israel
    Total
    West Bank 
    Gaza Strip
    Jews 
    Arab 
    1. Dishonest
    53.4% 
    54.4%
    51.7%
    23.2%
    19.6%
    2.
    8.9%
    9.8%
    7.5%
    18.3%
    14.8%
    3.
    17.7%
    18.1%
    17.1%
    37.4%
    38.1%
    4.
    7.8%
    6.2%
    10.6%
    13.1%
    20.3%
    5. Honest
    10.2%
    9.9%
    10.8%
    8.1%
    7.1%
    No answer
    2.0%
    1.6%
    2.3%
    0.0%
    2.6%

    - Intelligent:
     
    Palestinian Area
    Israel
    Total
    West Bank 
    Gaza Strip
    Jews 
    Arab 
    1. Unintelligent 
    7.8% 
    7.7%
    7.9%
    19.0%
    7.1%
    2.
    4.0%
    4.3%
    3.4%
    17.8%
    8.9%
    3.
    16.4%
    16.6%
    15.9%
    43.9%
    21.3%
    4.
    16.6%
    17.4%
    15.1%
    13.1%
    22.9%
    5. Intelligent
    54.3%
    53.2%
    56.3%
    6.1%
    39.7%
    No answer
    0.9%
    0.8%
    1.4%
    0.0%
    2.7%


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