JMCC Public Opinion Poll No. 39 - Part One
On Palestinian Attitudes Towards Politics including the Current Intifada
December 2000


Introduction

Methodology

A random sample of 1199 people over the age of 18 were interviewed face-to-face throughout the West Bank and Gaza Strip on 21,22,23,24 December  2000. The interviews were conducted in randomly selected homes, and the subjects inside each home were also selected randomly according to Kish tables. The interviews were conducted in 60 sampling points chosen randomly according to population.

In the West Bank, 759 people were surveyed from the following areas: Jenin: Jenin, Jenin refugee camp,  Kufr Ra’ee, ‘Arrabeh, Yabad, a-Zababdeh, Maythaloun, Aqaba, Sanour. Nablus: Nablus, Burqa, Beit Fureek, Haris, Sabastia, Balata refugee camp, Bidia, Boureen. Tulkarem: Tulkarem, Rameen, Qalqilia, Tulkarem refugee camp, Beit Leed, Jayyous. Hebron: Hebron, Doura, Al-Fawwar refugee camp, Beit Ummar, a-Tafuh, Yatta, Halhoul, al-Daharia. Bethlehem: Bethlehem, Za’atara, Artas, Beit Sahour, Beit Ta’mar, Deiheshe refugee camp. Jericho: Jericho, Aqbet Jaber. Ramallah & al-Bireh: al-Bireh, Ramallah, Beir Zeit, al-Mazra al-Sharqia, Kharbatha Bani Harith, al-Amari refugee camp. Jerusalem: a-Ram, Kufr ‘Aqab, Old City, Beit Hanina, Shufat, al-I’issawia, Jabal al-Mukaber, Silwan, Sheikh Jarrah, Sawahreh.

In the Gaza Strip, 440 people were surveyed from: Gaza North: Jabalia refugee camp, Jabalia, Beit Lahia and Beit Hanoun. Gaza:  Sheikh Radwan, a-Darji, a-Tufah, Sabra,  a-Zeitoon, a-Nasser, a-Shujaeih, a-Rimal north and south and Shati refugee camp, Saftawi, a-Sha’af, Sheikh ‘Ajleen. Deir al- Balah: al-bureij refugee camp, Deir al Balah, refugee camp, al-Maghazi refugee camp. Khan Younis: Khan younis, Khan Younis refugee camp, Bani Suheila, Absan al-Saghira, Absan al-Kabira, al-Qarara. Rafah: Rafah, Rafah refugee camp and Tal al-Sultan refugee camp.

The margin of error is 3 percent, with a confidence level of  95.

 

Sample Distribution

Occupation respondents
Students 10.6%  laborers 13.3%  Farmers/fishermen 2.6%
Craftsmen 1.8% Businessmen/private business 7.7%
Employees e.g. secretaries/municipal employees/teachers/nurses 19.2%
Professionals - e.g. doctors/lawyers/ pharmacists/engineers 1.5%
Housewives 34.9%, unemployed and retired 7.6%
No answer 0.8%


Results

Q. 1 Do you support or oppose the continuation of the current Palestinian Intifada?
 
 
Total 
West Bank
Gaza Strip
n= 1199
n=759
n=440
Support
70.1
66.8
 75.9
Oppose
17.8
18.3
16.8
I don't know
8.9
10.7
5.9
No answer
3.2
4.2
1.4

Q.2 The current Intifada includes popular characteristics such as the demonstrations and military characteristics. In your opinion, are you with the continuation of a popular or military Intifada or both of them together?
 
 
Total 
West Bank
Gaza Strip
n= 1199
n=759
n=440
I am with the continuation of a popular resistance Intifada
15.5
20.0
7.7 
Iam with the continuation of a military resistance Intifada
18.5
16.3
22.3
I am with both a popular and military resistance Intifada
54.5
49.5
63.0
I don't know
8.0
10.0
4.5
No answer
3.5
4.2
2.5

Q.3 Some believe that the Intifada is the best path at achieve our national goals and end the occupation, others believe that the negotiations are the best way to do so. There are some who believe that the continuation of the Intifada and negotiations together is the method to achieve Palestinian national goals. What in your opinion is the best way to achieve Palestinian national goals?
 
 
Total 
West Bank
Gaza Strip
n= 1199
n=759
n=440
Only the Intifada
28.4
24.2
35.7 
Only negotiations
12.1
14.2
8.4
Intifada and negotiations together
52.0
53.1
50.2
I don’t know
5.3
5.8
4.5
No answer
2.2
2.7
1.2

Q.4 Do you support the resumption of military operations against Israeli targets as a suitable response within the current political conditions, or do you reject it and find it harmful to Palestinian national interests?
 
 
Total 
West Bank
Gaza Strip
n= 1199
n=759
n=440
I see it as suitable response within the current political conditions
 72.1
66.9
80.9
I oppose it and see it as harmful to Palestinian national interests 
16.8
19.2
12.7
I don’t know
7.4
8.6
5.5
No answer
3.7
5.3
0.9

Q.5 What about suicide operations? Do you see them as a suitable response within the current political conditions or do you oppose them and see them harmful to national interests?
 
 
Total 
West Bank
Gaza Strip
n= 1199
n=759
n=440
I see them suitable response within the current political conditions
66.2 
61.5
74.3
I oppose them and see it as harmful to Palestinian national interests
22.2
24.5
18.2
I don’t know
7.8
9.0
5.9
No answer
3.8
5.0
1.6

Q.6 How satisfied are you with Arab solidarity with the Intifada. Would you say you are very satisfied, somewhat satisfied, somewhat dissatisfied, or totally dissatisfied?
 
 
Total 
West Bank
Gaza Strip
n= 1199
n=759
n=440
Very satisfied
 7.1
5.7
9.5
Somewhat satisfied
31.9
26.1
41.8
Somewhat dissatisfied
27.4
29.1
24.3
Totally dissatisfied
33.1
38.3
24.1
I don't know
0.3
0.5
0.0
No answer
0.2
0.3
0.3

Q.7 What's your opinion of the Oslo agreement? Would you say that you strongly support it, support it, oppose it, or strongly oppose it?
 
 
Total 
West Bank
Gaza Strip
n= 1199
n=759
n=440
Strongly support it
 3.2
4.5
0.9
Support it
35.8
37.3
33.2
Oppose it
36.0
34.4
38.9
Strongly oppose it
18.5
15.4
23.9
No answer
6.5
8.4
3.1

Q.8 If Jerusalem formed the last obstacle in signing a peace agreement between Israel and the Palestinians, do you then approve making Jerusalem the unified capital of Israel?
 
 
Total 
West Bank
Gaza Strip
n= 1199
n=759
n=440
Agree
2.7 
4.1
0.2
Disagree
94.3
91.4
99.3
I don’t know
2.4
3.7
0.2
No answer
0.6
0.8
0.3

Q.9 Which Palestinian political or religious faction do you trust the most?
 
 
Total 
West Bank
Gaza Strip
n= 1199
n=759
n=440
Fateh
32.1 
31.8
32.7
Hamas
19.2
16.9
23.2
PFLP
1.7
1.4
2.0
DFLP
0.3
0.4
0.2
Islamic Jihad
3.0
2.6
3.6
PPP
0.9
1.4
0.0
Fida
0.4
0.7
0.0
Other Islamic Faction
0.8
0.5
1.4
PLO
0.3
0.4
0.5
Hizballah
0.8
0.9
0.7
Other Factions
0.8
0.9
0.7
Don't trust anyone
28.1
28.2
28.0
No answer
11.6
13.9
7.5

Q.10 Which Palestinian personality do you trust the most?
 
 
Total 
West Bank
Gaza Strip
n= 1199
n=759
n=440
Yaser Arafat
25.7
23.7
29.1
Ahmad Yassin
12.2
9.2
17.3
Geroge Habash
0.5
0.3
0.9
Nayef Hawatmeh
0.2
0.1
0.2
Haidar Abdul Shafi
3.6
3.0
4.5
Faisal Husseini
1.0
0.9
1.1
Hanan Ashrawi
1.0
1.3
0.5
Sa'eb Erekat
4.2
5.3
2.3
Mahmoud Abbas (Abu Mazen) 
0.9
1.2
0.5
Yasser Abe Rabbo
1.0
1.3
0.5
Marwan Bargouthi
2.6
2.0
3.6
Others
6.5
7.0
5.7
Don't trust anyone
31.9
33.9
28.6
No answer
8.7
10.8
5.2

Q.11 In general, how do you evaluate the Palestinian Authority's performance? Would say its performance is very good, bad, or very bad?
 
 
Total 
West Bank
Gaza Strip
n= 1199
n=759
n=440
Very good
 5.2
3.8
7.5
Good
50.3
55.2
41.8
Bad
23.4
22.0
25.7
Very bad
13.9
10.4
20.0
No answer
7.2
8.6
5.0

Q.12 How do you evaluate the performance of the following Palestinian Authority agencies?

Security agencies
 
 
Total 
West Bank
Gaza Strip
n= 1199
n=759
n=440
Good
 31.5
29.8
34.5
Average
35.3
37.7
31.1
Bad
28.4
25.7
33.2
No answer
4.8
6.8
1.2

Legislative Council
 
 
Total 
West Bank
Gaza Strip
n= 1199
n=759
n=440
Good
 19.3
17.8
22.0
Average
33.7
34.0
33.2
Bad
37.6
34.8
42.5
No answer
9.4
13.4
2.3

Ministerial Cabinet (Executive Authority)
 
 
Total 
West Bank
Gaza Strip
n= 1199
n=759
n=440
Good
 21.3
20.7 
 22.3
Average
 32.5
 32.4
 32.7
Bad
 33.4
 29.6
 39.8
No answer
12.8 
 17.3
5.2

Palestinian Education System
 
 
Total 
West Bank
Gaza Strip
n= 1199
n=759
n=440
Good
 54.1
52.4
57.0
Average
33.6
35.6
30.2
Bad
11.2
10.5
12.3
No answer
1.1
1.5
0.5

Palestinian Health System
 
 
Total 
West Bank
Gaza Strip
n= 1199
n=759
n=440
Good
 48.6
42.2
59.8
Average
32.4
37.0
24.5
Bad
17.7
19.0
15.5
No answer
1.3
1.8
0.2

Palestinian Television
 
 
Total 
West Bank
Gaza Strip
n= 1199
n=759
n=440
Good
 47.7
49.7
44.3
Average
34.6
35.0
33.9
Bad
15.3
11.9
21.4
No answer
2.4
3.4
0.4

Palestinian Radio (Voice of Palestin)
 
 
Total 
West Bank
Gaza Strip
n= 1199
n=759
n=440
Good
 47.7
48.4
46.6
Average
33.7
35.0
31.4
Bad
15.4
12.6
20.2
No answer
3.2
4.0
1.8

Q.13 There will be elections held soon in Israel, which from a Palestinian viewpoint is better an Israeli government headed by the Labor Party (Barak) or an Israeli government headed by the Likud Party (Sharon or Netanyahu), or both of them are bad?
 
 
Total 
West Bank
Gaza Strip
n= 1199
n=759
n=440
An Israeli government headed by the Labor Party (Barak)
6.6 
6.2
7.3
An Israeli government headed by the Likud Party (Sharon or Netanyahu)
4.1
5.8
1.1
Both are bad
86.0
83.7
90.0
No answer
3.3
4.3
1.6

Q.14 The United States acts as the sponsor of the peace process and a mediator in the negotiations. Do you believe that it is conducting its mediation in a biased manner towards the Palestinians, in a neutral manner of in a biased manner towards the Israelis?
 
 
Total 
West Bank
Gaza Strip
n= 1199
n=759
n=440
Biased manner towards the Palestinian 
 1.0
1.3
0.5
Neutral manner
3.1
4.1
1.4
Biased manner towards the Israelis
95.1
93.4
98.0
I don't know
0.7
0.9
0.1
No answer
0.1
0.3
0.0

Q.15 How optimistic or pessimistic are you about the future in general? Would you say you are:
 
 
Total 
West Bank
Gaza Strip
n= 1199
n=759
n=440
Very Optimistic
 3.8
4.0
3.4
Optimistic
45.0
47.3
41.1
Pessimistic
37.0
35.6
39.5
Very Pessimistic
13.2
11.9
15.5
No answer
1.0
1.2
0.5


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