JMCC Public Opinion Poll No. 40
On Palestinian Attitudes Towards Politics including the Current Intifada
April 2001


Introduction

Methodology

A random sample of 1200 people over the age of 18 were interviewed face-to-face throughout the West Bank  (5,6,7 April  2001) and Gaza Strip on (10,11,12  April 2001). The interviews were conducted in randomly selected homes, and the subjects inside each home were also selected randomly according to Kish tables. The interviews were conducted in 60 sampling points chosen randomly according to population.

In the West Bank, 760  people were surveyed from the following areas: Jenin: Jenin, Kufr Ra’ee, al-Zababdeh, Yabad, Aqaba , Silat al-harithia , Jenin Refugee Camp (RC) , Fahmeh, T’nak . Nablus: Nablus,  ‘Askar RC, Haris, Bidia, Hiwara, Burqa, Deir al-Hatab, a-Naqoura, Ain Abous and Bidia . . Tulkarem & Qalqilya : Tulkarem, Bala’, Qalqilia , Nur Shams RC , Zeita , Azzoun . Hebron: Hebron, Dura, Idna, Sureef, Halhoul, Yatta , S’eer and Aroub RC . Bethlehem: Beit ta’mar, Beit Jala , Za’tra, al-khader, Beit Sahor and ‘ayda RC. Jericho: Jericho and Ain al – Sultan . Ramallah & al-Bireh : al-Bireh, Ramallah, Birzeit,  Ni’leen, al-Mizra , al-‘Amari , Kharbatha Bani Harith and  Sinijil . Jerusalem :  al-‘Izarria ,  Old  City, Shu’fat, Beit Hanina, Wadi al-Joz, Beit Hanina a-Thata , Anata , Hizma , Ras al-Amoud , Beir Nabala , Abu Dees , Qalandia RC .

In the Gaza Strip, 440 people were surveyed from: Gaza North: Jabalia refugee camp, Jabalia, Beit Lahia and Beit Hanoun. Gaza:  Sheikh Radwan, a-Darji, a-Tufah, Sabra, , a-Zeitoon, a-Nasser, a-Shujaeih, a-Rimal north and south and Shati refugee camp. Deir al- Balah: al-Nusseirat refugee camp, al-Maghazi refugee camp, Deir al- Balah and al-Bureij RC . Khan Younis: ‘Abassan al-Kabira, Khan Younis refugee camp, Khan Younis, Bani Suheila and al-Khuza’ . Rafah: Rafah, Rafah refugee camp and Tal al-Sultan RC . The margin of error is 3 percent, with a confidence level of 95.
 

 

Sample Distribution

Occupation respondents
Students 12.3%  laborers 10.1%  Farmers/fishermen 2.5%
Craftsmen 2.9% Businessmen/private business 6.9%
Employees e.g. secretaries/municipal employees/teachers/nurses 20.4
Professionals - e.g. doctors/lawyers/ pharmacists/engineers 1.6
Housewives 33.01% , unemployed 7.5% and retired 1.5% , no answer 1.4%


Results

Q. 1  In general how optimistic or pessimistic do you feel towards the future?
 
 
Total 
West Bank
Gaza Strip
N=1200
 N=760
N=440
Very optimistic 
 3.8
3.8 
 3.6
Optimistic 
 41.8
 45.5
 35.7
Pessimistic
 37.0
36.3 
38.2 
Very Pessimistic
 16.3
 13.7
 20.9
No answer
1.1
0.7
1.6

Q.2 Are you satisfied or dissatisfied with the way Yassir Arafat is handling his job as President of the Palestinian Authority? Do you feel that way strongly or only somewhat?
 
 
Total 
West Bank
Gaza Strip
n= 1200
n=760
n=440
Very satisfied
20.9
22.9
17.5 
Somewhat satisfied
36.8
36.4
37.3
Somewhat dissatisfied 
20.3
14.7
22.7
Very dissatisfied
17.7
20.8
19.5
No answer
4.3
5.2
3.0

Q.3 Which Palestinian political or religious faction do you trust most?
 
 
Total 
West Bank
Gaza Strip
n= 1199
n=759
n=440
Yasser Arafat
32.3
32.1
32.5 
Ahmed Yassin 
8.0
6.1
11.4
Haider ‘abd al-shafi
4.7
3.6
6.6
Sa’eb ‘Ireiqat
3.0
3.7
1.8
Marwan al-barghouti 
2.3
2.2
2.3
Others
12.8
11.9
14.1
No one
28.3
30.5
24.3
No answer
8.6
9.9
7.0

Q.4 And which political party or faction, if any, is currently best able to help achieve goals?
 
 
Total 
West Bank
Gaza Strip
n= 1200
n=760
n=440
Fateh
 35.1
34.5
36.1
Hamas
17.7
14.5
23.2
Islamic Jihad
4.9
4.2
6.1
Other Islamic faction 
3.2
3.4
2.7
PFLP
1.5
1.3
1.8
PPP
1.1
1.3
0.7
Others
1.9
2.8
0.4
No one
23.1
24.1
21.4
No answer
11.5
13.9
7.6

Q.5 And what way is your feeling about suicide bombing operations against Israeli civilians in Israel? Do you strongly support, somewhat support, somewhat appose, or strongly oppose suicide bombings against Israeli civilians?
 
 
Total 
West Bank
Gaza Strip
n= 1200
n=760
n=440
Strongly support
 54.4
49.6
62.7
Somewhat support 
19.3
17.9
21.8
Somewhat appose
10.1
10.0
10.2
Strongly appose
5.8
7.8
2.3
Don’t know
7.1
10.3
1.6
No answer
3.3
4.4
1.4

Q.6 Do you support or oppose the continuation of the current Palestinian Intifada ?
 
 
Total 
West Bank
Gaza Strip
n= 1200
n=760
n=440
Support
80.2 
76.3
86.8
Appose
13.3
15.8
9.1
I don’t know 
5.0
5.8
3.6
No answer
1.5
2.1
0.5

Q.7 The current Intifada includes popular characteristics such as the demonstrations and military characteristics. In your opinion, do you support the continuation of a popular or military Intifada or both of them together?
 
 
Total 
West Bank
Gaza Strip
n= 1200
n=760
n=440
I support  the continuation of a popular resistance Intifada
 13.5
17.0
7.5
With the continuation of a military resistance Intifada
15.8
16.8
13.9
I am with both a popular and military resistance Intifada 
62.3
55.0
74.8
I don’t know
6.9
9.5
2.5
No answer
1.5
1.7
1.3

Q.8 What’s your opinion of the Oslo agreement? Would you say that you strongly support it, support it, oppose it , or strongly oppose it ?
 
 
Total 
West Bank
Gaza Strip
n= 1200
n=760
n=440
Strongly support it
3.8 
5.0
1.6
Support it
36.6
39.7
31.1
Oppose it
33.0
29.5
39.1
Strongly oppose it 
19.9
16.1
26.6
No answer
6.7
9.7
1.6

Q.9 . In general, how do you evaluate the Palestinian Authority’s performance? Would you say its performance is very good, bad, or very bad ?
 
 
Total 
West Bank
Gaza Strip
n= 1200
n=760
n=440
Very good 
5.5 
6.1
4.5
Good
56.3
58.2
53.2
Bad
23.9
24.2
23.4
Very bad
11.3
8.6
15.9
No answer
3.0
2.9
3.0

Q.10 The United States acts as the sponsor of the peace process and a mediator in the negotiations. Do you believe that it is conducting its mediation in a biased manner towards the Palestinians, in a neutral manner or in a biased manner towards the Israelis?
 
 
Total 
West Bank
Gaza Strip
n= 1200
n=760
n=440
Biased manner towards the Palestinians 
 0.4
0.4
0.5
Neutral manner
2.5
2.4
2.7
Biased manner towards the Israelis
95.3
94.9
96.1
Don’t know
1.2
1.8
0
No answer
0.6
0.5
0.7

Q.11. How satisfied are you with Arab solidarity with the Intifada . Would you say you are very satisfied, somewhat satisfied, somewhat dissatisfied, or totally dissatisfied?
 
 
Total 
West Bank
Gaza Strip
n= 1200
n=760
n=440
Satisfied
 39.8
37.5
43.6
Dissatisfied 
58.4
60.0
55.7
I don’t know
1.3
1.8
0.2
No answer 
0.5
0.7
0.5

Q.12. Under the current conditions, some believe that the peace process is dead and there is no chance of resuming the negotiations , while others see that the peace process is passing through difficult conditions with an unclear future and there is another group that believes that the peace process is still alive and there is a possibility of resuming negotiations .
 
 
Total 
West Bank
Gaza Strip
n= 1199
n=759
n=440
The peace process is dead and there
is no chance of resuming negotiations 
29.7 
27.0
34.3
 The peace process is Passing through
difficult conditions with an unclear future 
43.8
43.6
44.1
The peace process is Still alive and there 
is a possibility of resuming the negotiations
19.1
20.3
17.0
Other … please specify
0.5
0.7
0.2
I don’t know
6.3
7.8
3.6
No answer
0.6
0.6
0.8

Q.13 Some believe that the two –state formula is the best solution for the Israeli-Palestinian conflict while others believe that the historical Palestine cannot be divided into two states and therefore the best solution would be a bi-national state in all of Palestine where Palestinians and Israelis enjoy equal rights, which of these two solutions would you prefer?
 
 
Total 
West Bank
Gaza Strip
n= 1199
n=759
n=440
 Two states Israeli & Palestinian
 43.8
47.8
37.0
Bi-national state in all of Palestine
24.8
23.3
27.3
No solution
14.7
16.2
12.0
Palestinian state
8.2
5.1
13.4
Islamic state 
2.8
1.4
5.2
Other
0.9
0.4
1.8
I don’t know
3.6
4.9
1.4
No answer
1.2
0.9
1.9


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