in cooperation with CNN and MBC
Methodology
A random sample of 1,622 Palestinians, over the age of
18 years, were interviewed throughout the West Bank and Gaza Strip on 8/10/11
January 1994. The interviews were conducted on a face-to-face basis with
people who visited general service offices to fill out application forms
for their identity cards, travel documents, birth registrations, etc, in
the main towns. The interviewers reported that some people filled out their
questionnaire by themselves in the presence of the interviewer.
In the West Bank, 1,110 questionnaires were collected
from the following major towns: Jenin, Tulkarem, Qalqilia, Nablus, Ramallah,
Hebron, East Jerusalem, Bethlehem, and Jericho. In the Gaza Strip, 512
questionnaired were received from: Gaza, Khan Younis, Rafah, Deir Al-Balah,
Beit Hanoun, Jabalia and the Central Refugee Camp areas.
The major of error is plus or minus 3% with a confidence
level of 95%.
Sample Distribution
-
68.4% of the respondents were from the West Bank
-
31.6% from the Gaza Strip
-
29.4% said they live in villages
-
25.6% in refugee camps
-
45.0% in towns/cities
-
76.0% were male
-
24.0% were female
-
The average of age of the respondents was 31 years.
Occupation respondents
Students 11.9%
Waged labourers 16.3%
Housewives 6.7%
Employees eg. secretaries/teachers/nurses/municipal employees
22.2%
Businessmen/private business 10.9%
Farmers/fishermen 2.4%
Craftsmen 11.1%
Professionals - eg. doctors/lawyers/pharmacists/engineers
9.1%
Unemployed 8.2%
Retired 0.9%
Others 0.3%
Results
Now that four months have passed since the signing of
the Declaration of Principles between the PLO and Israel (Gaza-Jericho
First), many developments have taken place in the peace negotiations and
in the internal political situation. There is now a growing debate in the
Palestinian community on these developments. Your assistance with the poll
will help us understand the opinions of the Palestinian people to enable
us to better evaluate the future.
Q.1 Would you say that you are optimistic or pessimistic
regarding the future of the Palestinian in the coming new year?
|
Total
|
West Bank
|
Gaza Strip
|
| Very optimistic |
18.6%
|
17.0%
|
21.9%
|
| Somewhat optimistic |
38.7%
|
36.8%
|
42.6%
|
| Pessimistic |
3.7%
|
40.0%
|
32.8%
|
| Other |
2.2%
|
2.7%
|
1.2%
|
| No answer |
2.8%
|
3.4%
|
1.6%
|
Q.2 Now that four months have passed since the signing
of the Declaration of Principles, What is your opinion?
|
Total
|
West Bank
|
Gaza Strip |
| Support it |
45.3%
|
42.2%
|
52.1%
|
| Oppose it |
39.8%
|
42.0%
|
35.0%
|
| Other |
8.5%
|
8.9%
|
7.6%
|
|
No answer
|
6.4%
|
6.9%
|
5.3%
|
Q.3 Has your position changed on the Declaration of Principles
(Gaza - Jericho First)?
|
Total
|
West Bank
|
Gaza Strip
|
| My support increased |
9.8%
|
9.4%
|
10.7%
|
| My support decreased |
24.3%
|
24.7%
|
23.4%
|
| My support remained the same |
26.1%
|
23.7%
|
31.3%
|
| My opposition increased |
22.6%
|
23.6%
|
20.5%
|
| My opposition decreased |
1.4%
|
1.7%
|
0.8%
|
| My opposition remained the same |
11.0%
|
11.8%
|
9.4%
|
| No answer / No opinion |
4.7%
|
5.1%
|
3.9%
|
Q. 4 Taking into consideration the latest developments,
how has your attitude towards the PLO changed?
|
Total
|
West Bank
|
Gaza Strip
|
| My support to the PLO increased |
12.6%
|
12.8%
|
12.1%
|
| My support to the PLO declined |
30.0%
|
33.2%
|
23.0%
|
| My support to the PLO did not change |
35.9%
|
31.4%
|
45.9%
|
|
I have never been a supporter of the PLO
|
14.1%
|
13.5%
|
15.4%
|
| No answer/No opinion |
7.4%
|
9.1%
|
3.5%
|
Q.5 Once the PLO assumes power in the Occupied Territory,
what is your expectation?
|
Total
|
West Bank
|
Gaza Strip
|
| The PLO will exercise authority in a good way |
35.9%
|
32.4%
|
43.6%
|
| The PLO will exercise authority in a bad way |
33.0%
|
33.3%
|
32.2%
|
| I have no expectations |
22.4%
|
25.9%
|
15.0%
|
| No answer/No opinion |
8.7%
|
8.4%
|
9.2%
|
Q.6 What is your opinion on the way chairman Yasser Arafat
manages the negotiations with Israel?
Q. 6a.
|
Total
|
West Bank
|
Gaza Strip
|
| Very good |
12.3%
|
9.9%
|
17.4%
|
| Good |
31.3%
|
30.1%
|
33.8%
|
| Bad |
44.0%
|
45.5%
|
40.8%
|
| No answer |
12.4%
|
14.5%
|
8.0%
|
Q. 6b.
|
Total
|
West Bank
|
Gaza Strip
|
| Very effective |
9.7%
|
7.2%
|
15.0%
|
| Effective |
26.9%
|
25.9%
|
29.1%
|
| Not effective |
49.3%
|
51.1%
|
45.3%
|
| No answer |
14.1%
|
15.7%
|
10.6%
|
Q. 6c.
|
Total
|
West Bank
|
Gaza Strip
|
| Democratic |
21.8%
|
17.7%
|
30.7%
|
| Undemocratic |
21.1%
|
21.2%
|
20.9%
|
| Individualistic |
47.5%
|
50.7%
|
40.4%
|
| No answer |
9.6%
|
10.4%
|
8.0%
|
Q. 7 Which of the following factions do you support most?
|
Total
|
West Bank
|
Gaza Strip
|
| DFLP |
2.7%
|
3.2%
|
1.8%
|
| Jihad |
5.4%
|
4.9%
|
6.6%
|
| Fateh |
40.4%
|
37.3%
|
47.1%
|
| People's Party |
5.2%
|
5.6%
|
4.3%
|
| Hamas |
14.2%
|
12.3%
|
18.4%
|
| FIDA |
2.0%
|
1.6%
|
2.7%
|
| PFLP |
7.7%
|
7.4%
|
8.4%
|
| Other |
9.9%
|
12.3%
|
4.7%
|
| No answer |
12.5%
|
15.4%
|
6.0%
|
Q. 8 What is your opinion on the latest demands for reform
in the PLO?
|
Total
|
West Bank
|
Gaza Strip
|
| Essential |
57.8%
|
64.2%
|
43.9%
|
| Essential but it is not the tiem |
24.3%
|
18.6%
|
36.5%
|
| Not essential |
8.4%
|
7.6%
|
10.4%
|
| No answer |
9.4%
|
9.6%
|
9.2%
|
