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JMCC Public Opinion Poll No. 11
On Palestinian Elections
December 1995

in cooperation with Jerusalem Center for Women


Introduction

  • Support for the Peace Process and Palestinian Election: There was, in general, a positive attitude towards the peace process, the elections, and the influence of the individual within society. Those who stronglyfelt that they had a civic responsibility to take part in the elections were 72.7% ad those who stated that they intended to vote were 78.1%.
  • Qualifications of Candidates: There was a large number of people who felt that the most important criteria for a candidate was their personal qualifications. 45.0% of those participating in the questionnaire stated that personal qualification were a priortiy in comparison to 3.0% who supported family loyalty, 19.9% who supported political affiliation and 17.5% who said that religious affiliation was the most important criteria in terms of choosing a candidate.
  • Equal particpation of women in public life: Palestinians, in general, supported a quota for women 60.1% more than they supported a quota for Christians 48.2%. Out of the 60.1% who did support a quota for women, 71.6% were men. There was also a great deal of support, again mostly from men, in terms of voting for a qualified woman candidate and supporting equal opportunities for women in the public sphere. A very high number of those questioned believed that they had an individual responsibility towards society in all respects.

  • Overall, there was more support by men of women's qualifications and participation in public life than by women themselves. Women were perhaps reluctant or afraid of talking about any pressure that they were subjected to during registration. For example, only 7.0% of women stated that the reason why they did not register was because a male member of the family did not allow it.

  • Personal status laws: There was a large percentage of those participating in the survey who strongly disagreed to incorporate personal status laws into the Palestinian constitution because of their strong belief that the Shari'a laws must remain the alternative. Out of 29% who disagreed to incorporate these laws into the constitution, 81.7% believe that Sahri'a laws are sufficient to govern matters of divorce, marriage and inheritance.
  • Effectiveness of Women's Organizations: Most women who were questioned were not satisfied with Palestinian women's organization. A high percentage of women expressed a lack of opinion concerning the effectiveness of women;s organizations which may be interpreted as a very low public awareness among these women, a low rate of trust of women's organizations and perhaps a lack of self confidence or trust in women themselves. Overall, women judged women more harshly than men judged women.
  • Attitude of Men and Women: Overall, men had amore positive attitude than women to most of the questions that were asked. This may be a result of lack of sufficient access to public life, less experience in organization. This may also be a result of a difference between men and women's attitudes (i.e. ideology) and their actual behavior (practice).

  • Women sounded more pessimistic than men in the questionnaire perhaps because they were mre truthful or sincere in answering the questions and in general, women do not have such a large gap between attitude and practice. Their responses perhaps reflect more the reality of the situation rather than the ideal situation.


Methodology

A random sample of 1,250 Palestinians, over the age of 18 years, were interviewed throughout the West Bank and Gaza Strip on 8 and 9 December 1995. The interviews were conducted in randomly selected homes, and the subjects inside each home were also selected randomly according to Kish tables. The interviews were conducted in 63 sampling points chosen randomly according to population.

In the West Bank,855 people were surveyed from the following areas: Bethlehem: Bethlehem, Beit Jala, Beit Sahour, Al-'Ibeidieh, and Za'atara; Hebron: Hebron, Beit Ummar, Halhoul, Sa'ir, Shyoukh; Jerusalem: Jerusalem, al-'Izaria, Hizma, Shu'fat, Anata. Jenin, Jenin, Jenin RC, 'Aqba, 'Araba, Maythaloun, Sanur. Nablus Area: Nablus, Askar RC, Beita, Deir Sharaf, Sarra. Ramallah area: Ramallah, Al-Bireh, Deir Dibwan, Shouqba, Sinjil. Tulkarem and Qalqilia area: Tulkarem, Qalqilia, Beit Lied, Bidia, Jamain, Salfit. Jericho area: Jericho.

In the Gaza Strip, 395 people were surveyed from: Gaza city, Deir al-Balah, Deir al-Balah RC, Nusseirat RC, Rafah, Jabalya, Jabalya a-Nazala, Jabalya RC, Khan Younis, Khan Youns RC, Nusseriat RC, Rafah, Shati RC, Burij RC, Maghazi RC, and 'Abasan.

The major of error is 3%, with a confidence level of 95%.


Sample Distribution
  • 68.4% of the respondents were from the West Bank (including East Jerusalem)
  • 31.6% from the Gaza Strip
  • 43.1% said they live in villages
  • 15.3% in refugee camps
  • 41.6% in towns/cities
  • 47.9% were male
  • 52.1% were female
  • 62.9% were married
  • 30.6% were single
  • 3.6% were widowed
  • 1.4% were divorced
  • 0.6% No answer
  • The average of age of the respondents was 33 years.

Results

Q.1 In general, what is the extent of your optimism towards the Palestinian future. Would you say you are very optimistic, somewhat optimistic, optimistic, or very pessimistic?
 
Total 
West Bank 
Gaza Strip 
Very optimistic
45.0% 
44.7%
45.8%
Somewhat optimistic 
36.2%
36.3%
35.2%
Pessimistic
12.2%
12.4%
11.6%
Very pessimistic
4.4%
4.0%
5.3%
No opinion
2.2%
2.3%
2.1%

Q.2 To what extent can you say you are for or against the Taba (Oslo 2) agreement between the Palestinian Authority and Israel
 
Total 
West Bank 
Gaza Strip 
Strongly support
39.8%
39.4%
40.5%
Somewhat support
27.3%
28.4%
24.8%
Absolutely do not support 
14.5%
13.3%
17.0%
Have not read the agreement 
13.7%
13.0%
15.2%
No opinion
4.7%
5.9%
2.5%

Q.3 In general, would you say that you support or oppose the peace process?
 
Total 
West Bank 
Gaza Strip 
Support the peace process 
77.9% 
76.6%
80.8%
Oppose the peace process
16.1%
16.1%
15.9%
No opinion
6.0%
7.3%
3.3%

Q.4 Do you believe that women will have an equal opportunity in running for the elections?
 
Total 
West Bank 
Gaza Strip 
Yes they will
55.6% 
56.0%
54.7%
No they will not 
31.8% 
32.3%
30.6%
No opinion
12.6%
11.7%
14.7%

Q.5 Do you think it is important to incorporate personal status laws (including those pertaining to divocre, inheritance and marriage) into the Palestinian constitution?
 
Total 
West Bank 
Gaza Strip 
Yes 
52.4%
53.9%
49.4%
No (Go to question #9-1) 
29.5%
29.9%
28.6%
No opinion
18.1%
16.2%
22.0%

Q. 5-1 If the answer ot the previous question is no, then why not?

This question was asked only to those who said that personal status laws should not be incorporated in the Palestinian Constitution. n=399
 
Total 
West Bank 
Gaza Strip 
Shari'a Law is sufficient to govern these matters 
81.7%
83.7%
77.2%
Such laws are not important enough to be included in the constitution 
8.3%
6.9%
11.4%
Other reasons
3.0%
2.5%
4.1%
No opinion
7.0%
6.9%
7.3%

Please indicate whether you strongly support, somewhat support or strongly oppose the following statements (Q.10 - Q.14).

Q.6 Women deserve a quota in the elected council.
 
Total 
West Bank 
Gaza Strip 
Strongly agree
60.1%
59.9%
60.5%
Agree somewhat
17.1%
17.8%
15.7%
Strongly disagree 
15.2%
15.4%
14.7%
No opinion
7.6%
6.9%
9.1%

Q.7 Christians deserve a quota in the elected council.
 
Total 
West Bank 
Gaza Strip 
Strongly agree
48.2%
50.9%
42.5%
Agree somewhat
21.4%
21.9%
20.3%
Strongly disagree 
19.2%
18.1%
21.5%
No opinion
11.2%
9.1%
15.7%

Q.8 Palestinian women's organizations provide women with useful information in a timely manner.
 
Total 
West Bank 
Gaza Strip 
Strongly agree
27.7%
28.9%
25.3%
Agree somewhat
20.6%
20.8%
20.3%
Strongly disagree 
13.0%
13.8%
11.1%
No opinion
38.7%
36.5%
43.3%

Q.9 I believe I have a civic responsibility to take part in the elections.
 
Total 
West Bank 
Gaza Strip 
Strongly agree
72.7%
73.3%
71.4%
Agree somewhat
9.0%
8.8%
9.6%
Strongly disagree 
7.5%
8.0%
6.6%
No opinion
10.8%
9.9%
12.4%

Q.10 If a woman candidate met my standards of proper qualifications, I would vote for her.
 
Total 
West Bank 
Gaza Strip 
Strongly agree
67.4%
68.3%
65.3%
Agree somewhat
12.2%
12.5%
11.6%
Strongly disagree 
13.2%
12.7%
14.2%
No opinion
7.2%
6.5%
8.9%

Q.11 Do you support or oppose the need for qualified women to be entitled for equal opportunities to participate actively in public responsibilities in society?
 
Total 
West Bank 
Gaza Strip 
Support
75.4%
75.4%
75.2%
Oppose (go to question #15-1) 
17.3%
16.7%
18.5%
No opinion
7.3%
7.9%
6.3%

Q.11-1 If you disagree, then why?

This question is asked only to those who said disagree in Q.15
 
Total 
West Bank 
Gaza Strip 
I believe women should only take care of family and homes
25.6%
23.7%
29.6%
Because of religion
17.4%
20.3%
11.3%
Women should not have social contact with outside of their immediate family 
6.4%
6.8%
5.6%
Women are not as capable as men to handle those kinds of tasks
42.5%
42.6%
42.3%
Other reasons 
3.7%
2.0%
7.0%
No opinion
4.4%
4.6%
4.2%

Q.12 Do you intend to vote in the upcoming elections?
 
Total 
West Bank 
Gaza Strip 
Yes
78.1%
78.8%
76.5%
No (go to question # 16-1) 
12.2%
11.6%
13.4%
I have not decided yet 
7.4%
6.8%
8.6%
No opinion
2.3%
2.8%
1.5%

Q.12-1 If you do not intend to vote, the reason is:

This question was asked to those who said that they will not vote in the elections. n=193
 
Total 
West Bank 
Gaza Strip 
I don't have proper ID 
5.7%
5.2%
5.0%
I plan to boycott the elections because of ideological reasons 
13.0%
12.7%
14.0%
I don't believe in the peace process
33.7%
32.9%
36.0%
I don't believe in democracy
4.2%
3.0%
7.0%
I didn't register to vote 
5.2%
7.5%
7.0%
I won't vote untill all the prisoners are released 
4.7%
3.7%
2.0%
(Women only) My husband, brother, father won't allow me
16.1%
19.4%
8.0%
Others
11.4%
9.7%
15.0%
No opinion
6.0%
5.9%
6.0%

Q.13 In your opinion, the most important criterion for a candidate is:
 
Total 
West Bank 
Gaza Strip 
Family loyalty
3.0%
3.4%
2.3%
Religious affiliation 
17.5%
17.8%
17.0%
Political affiliation
19.9%
20.0%
19.7%
Personal qualifications of candidate
45.0%
43.4%
48.6%
Others
7.6%
7.8%
6.8%
No opinion
7.0%
7.6%
5.6%

Q.14 Do you believe your vote will make a difference in the final outcome of the elections?
 
Total 
West Bank 
Gaza Strip 
Yes
73.6% 
76.0%
68.4%
No 
14.7% 
13.2%
18.0%
No opinion 
11.7%
10.8%
13.6%