Methodology
A random
sample of 1200 people over the age of 18 were interviewed face-to-face
throughout the West Bank and Gaza Strip on 16, 17 July 2000. The
interviews were conducted in randomly selected homes, and the subjects
inside each home were also selected randomly according to Kish tables.
The interviews were conducted in 60 sampling points chosen randomly according
to population.
In the West
Bank, 760 people were surveyed from the following areas: Jenin:
Jenin, Tubas, Jenin refugee camp, Kufr Ra’ee, ‘Arrabeh, Syleth al-Harthyieh.
Nablus:
Nablus, Salfit, Askar refugee camp, Kufr alDeik, Boureen, Roujeeb,
Deir Sharaf, Zowata, Huwara. Tulkarem: Tulkarem, ‘Anabta, ‘Allar,
Tulkarem refugee camp. Qalqilia: Qalqilia and Jayous. Hebron:
Hebron,
Bani n’eim, Tarqoumia, Doura, Al-Fawwar refugee camp, Beit Ula,, S’eer.
Bethlehem: Bethlehem, Husan, alDom, Nahaleen, Al-Azza refugee camp.
Jericho: Jericho and Ein alSultan refugee camp Ramallah &
Jerusalem: al-Bireh, Ramallah, Sinjel, Jalazon refugee camp, ‘Aqabeh,
Silwad, N’aleen, Abu Deis, al – ‘Ezarieh, Beir Nabala, Kufr Aqab, Qalandia
refugee camp, Jerusalem Old City, Beit Hanina, Shu’fat, Dahiat alBarid,
al Ram, ‘Anata
In the Gaza
Strip, 440 people were surveyed from: Gaza North: Jabalia
refugee camp, Jabalia, Beit Lahia and Beit Hanoun. Gaza: Sheikh
Radwan, a-Darji, a-Tufah, Sabra, al-Magharqa, a-Zeitoon, a-Nasser, a-Shujaeih,
a-Rimal north and south and Shati refugee camp. Deir al- Balah:
Nusseirat refugee camp, Deir al Balah, refugee camp, Deir al- Balah. Khan
Younis: Khan younis, Khan Younis refugee camp, Bani Suheila, Khza’a,
al-karara. Rafah: Rafah, Rafah refugee camp and Tal al-Sultan refugee
camp.
The margin
of error is 3 percent, with a confidence level of 95.
51.7% of the respondents were from West Bank,
11.6% from Jerusalem, 36.7% from the Gaza Strip.
24.3% said they live in villages, 16.9% in refugee
camps, 58.5% in towns/cities.
49.3% were male, 50.7% were female.
The average age of the respondents was 34 years.
Occupation respondents
Students 12.1% laborers 14.6.0%
Farmers/fishermen 2.2%
Craftsmen 1.8% Businessmen/private business 8.3%
Employees e.g. secretaries/municipal employees/teachers/nurses
15.8%
Professionals - e.g. doctors/lawyers/ pharmacists/engineers
2.3%
Housewives, unemployed and retired 35.8%
No answer 1.3%
Results
Q. 1 What are your expectations regarding the results
of the current negotiations in Camp David; do you expect that they would
succeed in reaching an acceptable final agreement or not?
|
|
Total
|
West Bank
|
Gaza Strip
|
|
n= 1200
|
n=760
|
n=440
|
| I expect that they would succeed in reaching an acceptable
final agreement |
37.3
|
34.6
|
42.0
|
| I do not expect that they would succeed in reaching an
acceptable final agreement |
52.8
|
54.1
|
50.5
|
| I don't know |
9.0
|
10.7
|
6.1
|
| No answer |
0.9
|
0.6
|
1.4
|
Q.2 Camp David is hosting the final status negotiations
over Jerusalem, refugees, borders and settlements. Are you confident
or not confident in the Palestinian negotiating delegation in Camp David?
|
|
Total
|
West Bank
|
Gaza Strip
|
|
n= 1200
|
n=760
|
n=440
|
| I am confident in the Palestinian negotiating delegation |
55.7
|
54.3
|
58.0
|
| I am not confident in the Palestinian negotiating delegation |
34.7
|
36.1
|
32.3
|
| I don't know |
7.8
|
7.9
|
7.5
|
| No answer |
1.8
|
1.7
|
2.2
|
Q.3 Do you think you would support or oppose the agreement
that might be reached in the ongoing Camp David negotiations?
|
|
Total
|
West Bank
|
Gaza Strip
|
|
n= 1200
|
n=760
|
n=440
|
| I would support the agreement |
28.2
|
28.6
|
27.5
|
| I would oppose the agreement |
18.8
|
19.3
|
17.7
|
| I will determine my position after reviewing the agreement |
49.1
|
48.0
|
50.9
|
| I don’t know |
3.6
|
3.8
|
3.2
|
| No answer |
0.3
|
0.3
|
0.7
|
Q.4 Do you expect the majority of the Palestinian people
to abide by the agreement that might be reached in the Camp David negotiations,
or do you expect that the majority of the Palestinian people would not
abide by the agreement?
|
|
Total
|
West Bank
|
Gaza Strip
|
|
n= 1200
|
n=760
|
n=440
|
| I believe that the majority of the Palestinian people
would abide by the agreement |
42.0
|
41.7
|
42.5
|
| I believe that the majority of the Palestinian people
would not abide by the agreement |
38.2
|
38.2
|
38.2
|
| I don’t know |
17.4
|
18.2
|
16.1
|
| No answer |
2.4
|
1.9
|
3.2
|