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March 22, 2012
Daily Summary 03/18/2012
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ARAB AND INTERNATIONAL “TSUNAMI” AT THE BORDERS OF PALESTINE

The Central Committee for “Universal al-Quds March” continues perpetrations to organize the hugest world event on March 30, the day that will mark the “Land Day”.
Media spokesperson Zahi al-Birawi told “Maan” from Cairo that the “activities of the Palestinian Land Day will be organized in over 64 Arab, Islamic and foreign countries and that millions of people who advocate the Palestinian cause are expected to participate”.
Al-Birawi said that mass marches will be launched from the Arab countries surrounding Palestine including Jordan, Lebanon, Egypt and Syria. In Jordan, al-Birawi added, popular and national activities are working on mobilizing thousands of Jordanian towards the borders with Israel after gathering from one site to preserve their life because the committee in charge of organizing the march is uninterested in confrontation with Israel on ground. Al-Birawi emphasized: “we are eventually peaceful and popular forces not an army; we care only about solidarity with Palestine and Jerusalem”.
In Lebanon, popular forces are working intensively to prepare for this big event and the location where participants will mass nearby the Israeli borders. As for Syria, al-Birawi stressed that coordination is being held with the Palestinians there without any contact with either the Syrian government or the revolution`s activities because Jerusalem is meant to be a unifying goal rather than a splitting goal.
Al-Birawi added that a central rally will be held in al-Azhar in Cairo with the participation of no less than 30 thousands Egyptians in addition to a mass gathering at Tahrir square.
With regard to activities around the world, al-Birawi announced that over 700 organizations from 64 countries in five continents are taking part directly and indirectly in supporting the activities, in addition to over 400 world personalities including former Malaysian prime minister Mahathir Muhammad, Dezmond Tutu, Sheikh Raed Salah, bishop Hanna Atallah, former Jordanian prime minister Ahmad O`beidat, member of Fatah Central Committee Nabil Shaath, deputy PLC speaker Ahmad Baher and a number of parliamentarians from Jordan, Egypt and European countries. (http://www.maannews.net/arb/Print.aspx?ID=468810)

  
HANA` SHALABI`S FAMILY REJECTS ISRAELI OFFER TO DEPORT HER TO GAZA
Hana` Shalabi`s family and the ministry of prisoners and ex-prisoners` affairs have rejected an Israeli offer to deport her to the Gaza strip. Her parents have appealed to international human rights organizations and parliaments worldwide to urge Israel to release her immediately considering the deterioration in her health condition.
Minister of prisoners and ex-prisoners Issa Qaraqei` disclosed during a visit to Shalabi`s home in Burqeen village that the Israeli side offered during the underway negotiations between the general prosecution and the Palestinian attorneys to expel Hana` to the Gaza strip. Qaraqei` added: we do not accept this and we will not legalize deportations; the Israelis should release Hana` to her home because her detention is illegal and illogic and the court has no evidences that could convict her and there are no legal reasons to hold her.
Qaraqei` pointed out that Shalabi`s health conditions is extremely bad after being on a hunger strike for 32 days. He added that Hana`s body has collapsed and she is incapable of standing up after sharp loss of weight and suffering from dizziness and insomnia. (Al-Quds)

AL-AHMAD TO “AL-MUSTAQBAL”: IRAN HAS CONTRIBUTED TO ABORTING THE EFFORTS PERTINENT TO ENDING THE DIVISION
Member of Fatah Central Committee Azzam al-Ahmad said that Iran has funded Hamas leaders in the Gaza strip who in return have obstructed the process of the Palestinian reconciliation thereby aborting the efforts pertinent to ending the division.
Al-Ahmad told the Lebanese newspaper “al-Mustaqbal”: “I can say that the reconciliation process has entered a stalemate”, citing that things got farther complicated “after the visit of the so-called prime minister of the deposed government Ismail Haniyyeh to Iran, although Palestine has only one recognized government that is chaired by Salam Fayyad and no faction has the right to claim having a government of its own, let alone that the Palestinian political system is presidential and the formation and disbanding of governments are according to the president`s decision”.
Al-Ahmad added: “obviously, Iran played a role in inciting Ismail Haniyyeh who arrived in Tehran on the second day after the signing of Doha declaration, despite of appeals by Hamas leadership not to go to Tehran. This confirms that Iran played a negative role with respect to the reconciliation, and we have been confirmed that a huge financial support has been offered by Iran to Ismail Haniyyeh, regretfully as the prime minister  (of Gaza) rather than as a Hamas leader, as if Iran is saying: keep the division and we will pay you money in return”. (Al-Hayat Al-Jadida)

THE ISLAMIC JIHAD DENIES RESPONSIBILITY FOR BREACH OF THE CALM
A Senior Islamic Jihad leaders rejected accusations which says that the movement is leading a war in Gaza in proxy to Iran with the purpose of diverting the attention from the underway events in Syria. He told “al-Hayat”: accusations are addressed to us if we maintain silence and when we defend ourselves we are accused of being agents and acting for the benefit of an external agenda”.
The Islamic Jihad senior source added: “anyone who wishes to fight Israel with a foreign agenda is welcome”, stressing that resistance under any circumstance benefits the Palestinian interest. He added: “is it reasonable that we would sabotage calm for the benefit of Iran?” stressing:”we signed the calm agreement and agreed with the Egyptian side to put it into effect and we are committed to it”.
Additionally, the source denies there are any disputes inside the ranks of the Islamic Jihad, stressing that breaches of the calm are not necessary carried out by the Islamic Jihad, citing there are 13 Palestinians organization in Gaza and the Islamic Jihad is not the only one that fires rockets. (http://international.daralahayat.com/print/375733)


AMBASSADOR OTHMAN TO “MAAN”: NO ISRAELI THREATS TO A NEW AGGRESSION IN GAZA
The Egyptian ambassador to the PA Yasser Othman affirmed there are no Israel threats to wage a new aggression against the Gaza strip considering extensive effort by the Palestinian factions to preserve calm.
Othman denies that Egypt has received a message of threat from Israel to “Hamas” in which the former gives the later an ultimatum until last evening to halt rocket firing otherwise it would carry out military operations in the Gaza strip. (http://www.maannews.net/arb/Print.aspx?ID=468722)


A DELEGATION OF JORDANIAN LAWMAKERS VISITS JERUSALEM AND PRAYS IN AL-AQSA

The Jordanian parliament`s speaker Abdel Karim a-Dgheimi said during a visit with a delegation of lawmakers yesterday that Jerusalem is dear to every Muslim and Arab and visiting it arouses our fervor and sentiments as Arabs, Muslims and Christians for seeing it suffering from subjugation by the Israeli occupation.
The delegation was accompanied by al-Quds governor Adnan al-Husseini and his deputy Abdullah Siam.
A-Dgheimi commented on sheikh Qardawi`s fatwa that prohibits visits to Jerusalem by saying: “ I do not believe in this fatwa because we did not come to normalize ties with the jailer but to visit the prisoner, that is the Palestinian people, to check their condition and cheer them up”. (Al-Quds)  

IMF: PA`S ACCUMULATED DEBT TO BANKS AND PRIVATE SECTOR REACHES $1.6 BILLION

The International Monetary Fund confirms that “it would be extremely difficult for the PA to fill the financing gap in 2012 through austerity measures alone and without pledges for additional urgent aids”.
An IMF report released on Saturday, prepared for a donor meeting on Palestinian aid in Brussels next week, estimated a financing gap of about $500 million. The Palestinian authority is relying on donor aid to cover its 2012 budget deficit projected to reach $1.1 billion.
Most Palestinian aid comes from the United States, the European Union and Arab nations, allowing the Palestinian Authority to pay the salaries of public workers and benefits.
But the United States, which is trying to restart Israeli-Palestinian peace talks, cut off funding last year when Palestinian President Mahmoud Abbas defied calls from Washington and made a unilateral bid for statehood recognition at the United Nations.
Palestinian officials say more than $150 million of U.S. aid is frozen.
The IMF said just $800 million of $1 billion in promised budget support was disbursed in 2011. In addition, development aid was only $169 million compared with $370 million committed by donors.
IMF mission chief to the West Bank and Gaza, Oussama Kanaan, said it would be very difficult for the Palestinian Authority to cover the 2012 financing gap without donors making good on existing pledges and providing additional aid.
He said steady declines in foreign assistance had led to a large increase in domestic payment arrears of about $500 million to private businesses, and increased government debt to commercial banks to around $1.1 billion.
“The stock of indebtedness has increased to such an extent that the PA is no longer able to postpone payments to the private sector and to banks,” Kanaan said. “If money from the donors isn’t forthcoming ... the only way it can cut expenditures is to cut wages or social benefits.”
“The deficit is very large and it cannot compensate anymore for the shortfall by accumulating debt because the private sector will not allow them and banks will not lend them much more,” he added.
The IMF said the Palestinian Authority should immediately prepare a contingency plan to cover the financing gap given the uncertainty of international aid flows. It should start cutting expenditures, increasing tax revenue and ensuring that the wage bill, which represents more than half of total expenditures, is contained.
“This will prevent a situation where the PA is forced by continued aid shortfalls to take drastic measures at short notice, such as a sudden curtailment of social transfers or payment of only a portion of the wage bill,” the report said.
The IMF said while the size of the wage bill had declined in recent years, at about 18 percent it was still significantly higher than the 10-15 percent typically found in countries of similar stature.
The IMF warned that growth could slow further in the Israeli-occupied West Bank if the fiscal situation worsened and aid levels continued to decline.
Real GDP growth in the West Bank eased to 5.7 percent in 2011, compared to annual averages of 9 percent in 2008-2010, while unemployment was unchanged at 17 percent, it said.
“There is a high risk that growth will dampen further due to fiscal retrenchment, declining aid and consequent severe liquidity difficulties, the global economic slowdown, as well as the lack of easing of restrictions on movement and access since 2011 due to government of Israel’s security concerns,” the IMF said.
In the Gaza Strip, a smaller territory controlled by Hamas Islamists, growth surged about 20 percent last year after restrictions on consumer goods were eased and internationally supervised development projects increased.
Still, the IMF said, continued controls on private investment and exports would likely slow growth in the Gaza Strip and unemployment would remain at around 30 percent. (Al-Quds)

SHAATH ADVISES THE GOVERNMENT NOT TAKE LOANS FROM BANKS
Member of Fatah Central Committee Nabil Shaath stressed that reports of the World Bank and the IMF have indicated that the PA is in urgent need for huge and immediate aids to overcome the deficit crisis that is estimated of $1.1 billion
Shaath told “Maan”: “the Palestinian government cannot take more loans from banks because banks would be also at risk”, calling on “the donor countries to immediately pay the aids to the PA”.
Shaath maintains that “the upcoming crisis is certainly a political pressure from the USA, its allies and Israel to prevent us from political steps like turning to the UN and to make us accept the measures of occupation and settlement silently”. He added: “I am unaware of the available margins Dr. Salam Fayyad`s government has to overcome the next crisis, but we should survive until mid 2012 and there should be a strategy for a genuine move to counter the pressures”. (http://www.maannews.net/arb/Print.aspx?ID=468803)

UNRWA to resume disbursing financial assistance next month

UNRWA Spokesperson Adnan Abu Hansah told “Voice of Palestine” radio on Sunday that the UNRWA has managed to enlist funds to resume the payment of financial assistances that are estimated of $11 per capita every three months in the West Bank and the Gaza strip, citing that the UNRWA has continued offering the food basket service to all refugees in the West Bank, the Gaza strip, Lebanon, Syria and Jordan.
Abu Hasnah pointed out that the value of the deficit in the UNRWA budget has reached $75 million, citing that new donors including Brazil and Iraq have provided aids.
(http://www.wafa.ps/arabic/index.php?action=detail&id=126460)


Al-Hendi: “positive” details about the fusion of the Islamic Jihad and Hamas

Member of the Islamic Jihad politburo Muhammad al-Hendi emphasized the necessity of unifying the ranks of the Islamists in Palestine with the purpose of composing a leverage to the Palestinian people`s steadfastness and resistance.
Al-Hendi unveiled in a TV interview last Saturday there are positive visions and details on unifying the two movements of Hamas and the Islamic Jihad, stressing that meetings have been continuous since a while to discuss the phases (of the unification) and the formulation of policies.  He pointed out there is “field coordination” between the two movements in the Gaza strip, one of example of which was running the Journalists` syndicate election in Gaza in a unified list. (http://www.alresalah.ps/ar/index.php?ajax=preview&id=48766)


Al-Bardaweil: Meshaal visited Turkey not in pursuit of support to Hamas

Hamas senior leader Salah al-Bardaweil stressed that politburo chief Khaled Meshaal`s visit to Turkey “was not to gain support to the partisan interests of Hamas”, but to discuss the affairs pertinent to the Palestinian people and to seek support for them.
Al-Bardaweil said in a TV interview last Saturday that Meshaal`s meeting agenda included discussion of the recent Israeli aggression against Gaza and which inflicted 26 martyrs, which he considered as an attempt to drag the region to an (Israeli) war against Iran in which Gaza would fall as a victim to it.
Additionally, the visit, Baradaweil says, addressed the issue of Jerusalem and the daily raids in the city by settlers, citing that the issue of prisoners and their hunger strike in protest against the policy of administrative detention was also on the agenda. (http://www.alresalah.ps/arb/index.php?ajax=preview&id=487630)

Al-Hendi: “positive” details about the fusion of the Islamic Jihad and Hamas

Member of the Islamic Jihad politburo Muhammad al-Hendi emphasized the necessity of unifying the ranks of the Islamists in Palestine with the purpose of composing a leverage to the Palestinian people`s steadfastness and resistance.
Al-Hendi unveiled in a TV interview last Saturday there are positive visions and details on unifying the two movements of Hamas and the Islamic Jihad, stressing that meetings have been continuous since a while to discuss the phases (of the unification) and the formulation of policies.  He pointed out there is “field coordination” between the two movements in the Gaza strip, one of example of which was running the Journalists` syndicate election in Gaza in a unified list. (http://www.alresalah.ps/ar/index.php?ajax=preview&id=48766)


Al-Bardaweil: Meshaal visited Turkey not in pursuit of support to Hamas

Hamas senior leader Salah al-Bardaweil stressed that politburo chief Khaled Meshaal`s visit to Turkey “was not to gain support to the partisan interests of Hamas”, but to discuss the affairs pertinent to the Palestinian people and to seek support for them.
Al-Bardaweil said in a TV interview last Saturday that Meshaal`s meeting agenda included discussion of the recent Israeli aggression against Gaza and which inflicted 26 martyrs, which he considered as an attempt to drag the region to an (Israeli) war against Iran in which Gaza would fall as a victim to it.
Additionally, the visit, Baradaweil says, addressed the issue of Jerusalem and the daily raids in the city by settlers, citing that the issue of prisoners and their hunger strike in protest against the policy of administrative detention was also on the agenda. (http://www.alresalah.ps/arb/index.php?ajax=preview&id=487630)


'Israel, PA financial agreement near'
Sources in Ramallah say secret talks to result in revision of tax-collecting mechanism
Sever Plocker
(http://www.ynetnews.com/articles/0,7340,L-4204196,00.html)

Secret talks between the Treasury and the Palestinian Ministry of Economy and Trade are nearing a breakthrough that may lead to an agreement on upgrading financial ties between Jerusalem and Ramallah, Palestinian sources said.
According to a Yedioth Ahronoth report, published Sunday, the months-long negotiations are aimed at updating the Paris Protocol, signed between the PLO and Israel in 1994. In accordance with the agreement, Israel collects import taxes on goods from other countries and transfers to the Palestinian Authority the taxes on goods that were intended for the territories.
The current talks are aimed at revising this tax collection mechanism, Palestinian sources said, but the sides do not plan on replacing the mechanism. International elements have suggested that Israel and the Palestinian Authority sign a free trade agreement.
Finance Minister Yuval Steinitz suspended the talks during the PA's failed attempt to seek full United Nations membership, but the negotiations were recently resumed.
If finalized, the agreement would be the first between the Palestinian Authority and Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu's government.
Speaking to Yedioth, Treasury officials acknowledged that talks were being conducted, but denied a breakthrough.


Headlines

* Last hour: the boast of the occupation fire towards fishermen in Gaza. Al-Quds)

* Patriarch of the Coptic Church in Egypt Pope Shenouda passes away. The president announces the death of Pope Shenouda the great advocate of the Palestinian people and their cause and pays condolences to (Al-Quds)

* During a tour in Hebron governate to open a number of projects, Fayyad: ending the division, reunifying the institutions of the homeland and forming a government capable of working on the West Bank and the Gaza strip are requisite. (Al-Quds)

* Scores killed in blasts in Damascus. (Al-Quds)

* Two blasts in Damascus kill 27 people and protests continue in several areas. Russia urges Syria to support Anan`s effort “without a delay”.  Al-Ayyam)

* One rocket lands in west of the Negev and Egyptian assurances on the calm. (Al-Ayyam)

* Fayyad: general and municipal election should be held swiftly and pressure should be exercised on the obstructive party of the reconciliation. (Al-Ayyam)

* Damascus: three killed in a blast of a Palestinian Liberation Army`s car in al-Yarmouk camp. (Al-Ayyam)

* Nasser al-Qidweh… first Palestinian politician to assume a high ranking international diplomatic post. Al-Qidweh to “al-Ayyam”: I am fully aware of that the mission is extremely difficult and risky. (Al-Ayyam)

* Arrestment of Abdullah a-Senusi, Kaddafi`s chief of intelligence, in Mauritania. (Al-Ayyam)

* Israel warns that Iran may “use nuclear weapon”. (Al-Ayyam)

*. Fayyad: it is high time to an objective accounting to those who violate the required commitments to end the division. (Al-Hayat al-Jadida)



Front Page Photos

Al-Quds: 1) Beit Ummar- an Israeli soldier intercepting an adolescent during the weekly protest in the village against settlements and the Wall.

Al-Ayyam: 1) An Israeli soldier attacking a boy while suppressing anti-settlement protest in Beit Ummar yesterday; 2) Poe Shenouda; 3) Dr. Fayyad during laying cornerstone ceremony of al-Dhahiriyyeh stadium; 4) Nasser al-Qidweh.

Al-Hayat Al-Jadida: 1) Pope Shenouda III; 2) Fayyad during laying cornerstone ceremony of a-Dhahirriyeh stadium; 3) citizens carrying prisoner Hana` a-Shalabi`s photo during a solidarity sit-in in front of the ICRC headquarter in Jerusalem; 4) a soldier directing his gun to a child`s chest during Beit Ummar weekly march.



Voice of Palestine News

Jerusalem: Israeli occupation forces arrested last Saturday two Palestinian minors and one young man during violent confrontations in Silwan, occupied Jerusalem.

The West Bank: Settlers uprooted and stole over 220 olive trees from lands in Duma village, southeast of Nablus governate.



Voice of Palestine Interviews

** Fatah`s Al-Ahmad: I will meet Hamas`s Abu Marzouq in two or three days; all obstacles that have emerged after Doha Declaration still unresolved**
Azzam al-Ahmad: Member of Fatah Central Committee.

Q: What are the highlights of your recent meetings with leaders of Hamas and the Islamic Jihad?

In fact, I met with deputy Hamas politburo Mousa Abu Marzouq in Cairo with the presence of the Egyptian side. The meeting was held few days ago and without the knowledge of media outlets with the purpose of removing obstacles that have emerged in the face of implementing Doha Declaration. So far, none of these obstacles have been removed. Brother Mousa Abu Marzouq promised to return to Hamas leadership to study the situation before informing us and the Egyptian side (with their stance).
I expect to meet Abu Marzouq again within the two or three coming days in Cairo.



Arab Press

Human rights in Palestine
By: Navi pillay*
(http://arabnews.com/opinion/columns/article588564.ece)


My visit to Israel and Palestine a year ago left me with a profound sense of the difficult human rights situation faced by many Palestinians and Israelis. Still, the openness of representatives on all sides to engage seriously on the human rights challenges I identified was encouraging.
Taking this spirit of constructive engagement as our point of departure, I and my staff have been watching closely for progress on the issues I raised with Israeli and Palestinian authorities in Gaza, Jerusalem, Ramallah and Tel Aviv. We have also continued to press for greater respect for human rights and suggested ways to protect civilians from violence and insecurity.
Next week, I present my annual report on human rights in the occupied Palestinian territory to the Human Rights Council. This provides me with an opportunity to highlight a few steps that have the potential to make it easier for both sides to live side by side in peace and security.
During my 2011 visit, I expressed my concern to Palestinian representatives about the arbitrary detention and ill-treatment of fellow Palestinians. These issues have not yet been sufficiently addressed, especially in Gaza. Palestinian leaders should clearly instruct security personnel to refrain from arresting people without a proper warrant. They must also ensure that all credible allegations of ill-treatment are investigated promptly, thoroughly and impartially.
A second challenge on the Palestinian side, is the need to safeguard the freedoms of opinion, expression, association and assembly, which are fundamental human rights. These freedoms are central to the open and democratic society to which so many Palestinians have aspired for so long. Palestinian leaders should make a greater effort to secure these rights in law, policy and practice, including for human rights defenders and journalists.
The indiscriminate firing of rockets and other projectiles from Gaza into Israel is illegal and unjustifiable. Those who participate in such activities are not only terrorizing Israeli civilians, they are playing into the hands of those who wish to maintain the blockade. Next week’s report notes that, during certain sensitive periods in 2011, the rockets stopped. This suggests that Palestinian leaders have the ability to end such attacks altogether.
My visit brought me face to face with many large-scale human rights violations stemming from Israel’s occupation of Palestine. At the conclusion of my visit I stressed that transferring civilians into occupied territory is plainly and unequivocally illegal. To treat the freezing of settlement activities as a concession, or a precondition, for peace negotiations is to turn the law on its head.
There are numerous serious human rights challenges intrinsically linked to the expansion of settlements. Repeated violence by Israeli settlers against Palestinians is one such challenge. The Israeli government has a clear obligation to protect Palestinians and their property from violence by Israeli settlers. One step in this direction is to rigorously investigate all such incidents and hold perpetrators accountable. Israeli authorities have spoken with me about difficulties in investigating settler violence. But the fact is Israel delivers accountability in some cases and should be able to do so consistently. Palestinians must be able to easily access Israeli police stations and register complaints if settler violence is to be dealt with effectively.
Over the past year, my office has paid particular attention to incidents of excessive use of force by Israeli security forces. In the West Bank, Israeli forces carrying out law enforcement activities and operating checkpoints have on several occasions killed unarmed Palestinian civilians. In Gaza, Israeli soldiers enforcing restrictions on access to certain areas on land and at sea have also killed unarmed Palestinian civilians. These deaths were needless. Such incidents can be avoided if Israeli forces, in accordance with international standards, stop resorting so readily to the use of live ammunition when dealing with civilians.
Last year I met many civilians whose lives have been wrecked by Israel’s blockade of Gaza. If poverty, unemployment and the deterioration of health care, education and water and sanitation facilities are its goals, then Israel’s blockade is succeeding. But Israel has the resources to handle legitimate security concerns that emanate from Gaza without punishing the civilian population en masse. Important steps that Israel can take immediately include facilitating the movement of civilians to and from Gaza, ensuring that reconstruction materials can be delivered and permitting more goods to be exported.
To protect civilians from violence and insecurity is to respect human dignity. Without this respect, “living side by side in peace and security” will remain unrealistic rhetoric for both Palestinians and Israelis. Taking these steps would not only lead to immediate improvements in the lives of civilians, it would demonstrate that Israeli and Palestinian leaders are actually interested in providing their own populations with human rights, peace and security, since neither side will enjoy all three, unless both sides do.

*The author is the United Nations High Commissioner for Human Rights


Netanyahu aims at two birds with one strike
by PV Vivekanand*
(http://jordantimes.com/netanyahu-aims-at-two-birds-with-one-strike)


March is when Israel’s powerful lobby in Washington, the American-Israeli Public Affairs Committee (AIPAC), holds its annual conference, where US businessmen and politicians are offered the opportunity to fall over themselves in their frenzy to renew their allegiance to Israel.
This year’s AIPAC conference was more intense than usual because Israel had already hammered home its argument that an Iran with nuclear weapon poses an existential threat to it.
Jews are facing a new threat of annihilation, Israeli Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu told the conference. Other speakers could not agree more. Most of them backed the notion that the US should wage a war for Israel against Iran.
US President Barack Obama, mindful of his political priorities and US national interests, both internal and external, pledged not to allow Iran to possess nuclear weapons, but indicated that he did not favour immediate military action. He told the AIPAC conference that he would not “hesitate to use force to prevent Iran from obtaining a nuclear weapon”.
Publicly, Netanyahu welcomed the statement but reserved for himself the right to take whatever action he deems fit to “protect” Israel from the “Iranian nuclear threat”.
Israel does have the military capability to hit at most of Iran’s nuclear facilities, but it needs US logistic support to make the attacks effective. Therefore, Israeli leaders are bluffing when they talk about unilateral action without informing the US in advance. They want the US to lead the charge and, ideally, fight the Iranians to the last American solider.
Netanyahu knows it, Obama knows it and the world knows it.
In the meantime, Obama’s resistance to the call for war on Iran has earned him another notch in Israelis’ dislike for him.
Shortly after his AIPAC address, Obama was asked about his comment that “we have Israel’s back”. The president’s answer was that “it was not a military doctrine that we were laying out for any particular military action”.
That statement was immediately interpreted in Israel as backtracking on his “commitment” to stop Iran from having nuclear weapons.
Obama has many considerations against military action against Iran: Iran and its allies will retaliate against US and allied interests in the region, including the 130,000 foreign soldiers waging the war against insurgents and Al Qaeda in Afghanistan; oil prices will shoot up and damage Obama’s chances of reelection in November. More than half of the Americans are opposed to their country getting involved in any war in foreign lands.
The only effective means to “neutralise” Iran’s nuclear programme — without a 1945 Japan-style “nuking” of the country — is to turn the Tehran regime US- and West-friendly. It seems like an impossibility as long as the theocrats reign supreme in Iran.
The simple equation is that any military action against Iran could not be limited to the country’s nuclear facilities. It will only trigger a broader conflict with unpredictable consequences that will be disastrous for the entire region.
Israelis are sidestepping that reality. They are also trying to counter Obama’s argument that the sweeping sanctions against Iran have started to bite and Tehran will be forced to succumb to international pressure sooner rather than later.
Critics are playing down the impact of the international sanctions adopted against Iran by the UN and separate curbs imposed by the US and its Western allies. They say that Obama sought to dilute the strength of the latest sanctions by delaying their enforcement and asking Israel to wait a few months to allow them to take effect.
Well, the US president was only trying to ward off a dramatic rise in domestic fuel prices and serious damage to the US economy by delaying the implementation of the latest sanctions against Iran.
Clearly, the Israelis are apprehensive about a second Obama term at the White House. They have seen that he has no taste for the “strategic” relations with Israel that would compel him to act against what he considers as the genuine interests of his country.
A second-term Obama could be expected to put up high resistance to Israeli pressure and could even confront Netanyahu, after having been forced to blink first in last year’s standoff over Israeli settlements in the occupied Palestinian territories.
The US president could not have forgotten the humiliation he suffered in 2010 when he tried to pressure Netanyahu by snubbing him at a White House meeting. The entire US political establishment landed on his head and pressured him into inviting Netanyahu again to the White House with the full red-carpet treatment and a little extra — a “cozy” family meeting between their wives.
Netanyahu could not have forgotten it either. He must be aware of Obama’s dislike for him — and for Israel in general, mainly because the president is forced to push US national interests to the back burner when dealing with Israel. The Israeli prime minister could not have forgiven Obama for the not-very-diplomatic comment he made about him in a private conversation (that went public) with French President Nicolas Sarkozy last year.
Netanyahu seems to be aiming at two birds with one stone: use the US to wreck Iran’s nuclear programme and get rid of Obama from the White House in the November elections.

*The writer, who served The Jordan Times for 20 years, now works for the UAE-based Gulf Today newspaper.







Opinions

Palestinian Transformations
By: Elias Harfoush, al-Hayat
(http://international.daralhayat.com/print/375709)


The days of Gaza and the days of “Hamas” have changed. The recent confrontation in the Gaza strip was a not only a new test for the capability of the Israeli aggression to inflict humane losses and financial damages to the Palestinians, as if we need additional Palestinian blood to realize this matter, but also a test to the Islamic movement and its brave hesitance to engage in the adventure of a costly counter.
“Hamas” has refrained from taking part in the recent escalation in the Gaza strip, although other factions considered it as retaliation to the assassination of secretary general of the “Popular Resistance Committees” Zuheir al-Qaysi and another leading “al-Quds Brigades” operative by Israel. The stance of “Hamas” has appeared in the recent confrontation as a new strategy of the movement whereby it places political actions at the very top of its concerns without giving in the principle of resistance which it has endorsed for five years after taking over the Gaza strip.
In fact, this applies with an analysis that was conducted by the Islamic Jihad movement to the stance of “Hamas”. Islamic Jihad leader Abdullah a-Shami has consdired his movement as in competition with “Hamas” over popularity, which is a competition over resistance. A-Shami has certainly reached the conclusion that “Hamas” is the biggest loser in this confrontation after it has succeeded “to place the Islamic movement in the corner”, as he said.
Member of the Islamic Jihad politburo, Nafeth Azzam, for his part, maintained that the entry of “Hamas” in the authority has affected its role in the Palestinian resistance, and its response to the recent Israeli aggression against the Gaza strip. He added that “the recent escalation did not witness any kind of coordination between the Islamic Jihad and our brothers in Hamas despite of the good relations we have”.
There is a new climate of transformations in the political reality which imposes itself on the Palestinian factions. It reflects the new alliances that are currently dictating the move of these factions and their political discourse. One of the signs of these transformations is the recent divorce between “Hamas” and the Syrian leadership, due to disputes between the movement`s leadership and Damascus over the violent method that the Syrian leadership has applied to suppress the uprising. In return, there is rapprochement between the Islamic Jihad and the “Popular Resistance Committees” in to Gaza strip on the one hand, and with the Iranian leadership on the other. It could be added to this the role Iran has been playing to widen the rift inside Hamas leaderships after the recent reconciliation agreement with Fatah and which has impacted steps pertinent to the formation of a Palestinian national unity government.
The recent confrontation in the Gaza strip represented the first test to “Hamas” movement and to its new status amidst the influence of the Syrian uprising and the Arab Spring on its recent options that have been realistic to a great extent which we have never identify before in Hamas. A short review of Hamas`s last discourse in comparison to the one heard during the war on Gaza at the end of 2008 is a sufficient indicator to this transformation. Presently, “Hamas” is playing the role of a mediator for calm through the Egyptian matchmaking between Israel and the Islamic Jihad movement. This role of “Hamas” is similar only to the one played by Abu Mazen-led PA three years ago between “Hamas” and the Israelis and through the Egyptian mediation as well in bid to halt the Israeli killing of Palestinians.
However, the most worrying matter in the recent transformations in the Palestinian arena is the possible repetition of the game in which the card of Palestine can be used by a specific Arab or regional regime for its benefits. It is no coincidence “inflaming” this confrontation in Gaza at the time the Syrian regime is undergoing this crisis and while Iran is enduring worries of a counter with the west due to its nuclear affair. This is a distraction that is worthy, in the eyes of those responsible for and have benefited from, to scarify in Gaza at least 25 Palestinian souls without even one Israeli in return.

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